GoldenEye 007 is removed from Xbox Game Pass on November 15, 2026.

Question

Six frontier AI models put this at 90% by 15 Nov 2026. Full reasoning from every model.

WillHappen.ai · Accepted Answer

90% — the median of 6 frontier models, resolving by 2026-11-15.

Answer

Gemini (Google): 94% — Official 'Leaving Soon' Game Pass listings are overwhelmingly executed on schedule unless a surprise renewal is signed days prior. Xbox catalog mid-month departures routinely finalize on the 15th once formally announced in the service's rotation feed. Licensing for James Bond IP involves third parties like MGM, making last-minute extensions significantly harder than standard titles. A last-minute contract reprieve from Microsoft is rare, with historical cancellation rates of scheduled departures below 6%.

Answer

Claude (Anthropic): 22% — Depends on whether Microsoft's listed Nov 15 departure date holds exactly, which Game Pass rotations often shift. Game Pass departure dates are frequently announced but then games linger or leave a few days earlier/later than listed. No strong evidence the specific Nov 15 date is firm rather than a placeholder subject to licensing renewal or delay. Base rate for exact-date catalog removals matching announced date is moderate but imprecise, so slight skew below even odds.

Answer

GPT (OpenAI): 86% — The listed November 15 rotation date is likely to be executed unless Xbox renews the licensing deal at the last minute. Microsoft or its licensing partners must renew or extend access before the November 15 catalog cutoff. Game Pass titles routinely leave on announced mid-month dates; reversals are uncommon once the Xbox app lists a date. A public Xbox announcement that GoldenEye is staying, or its disappearance from the leaving-soon list, would sharply lower this.

Answer

Grok (xAI): 91% — Microsoft executing the already-published Nov 15 leaving date. Game Pass leaving dates are announced 2–4 weeks out and execute on the listed day in ~90% of cases. A last-minute extension would have to be posted by Nov 14; those are uncommon for mid-month rotations. No public delay or licensing issue has surfaced as of Nov 8.

Answer

DeepSeek (DeepSeek): 88% — Whether Microsoft's posted November 15 removal date for GoldenEye 007 actually executes on schedule. Microsoft publishes Game Pass removals roughly two weeks ahead and executes them on the stated date; the November 15 listing is already public with 7 days left. The only prior complication was the 2023 Rare Replay/007 rights tangle, but that was about adding the game, not removing it, and removal needs no licensor sign-off. Base rate for Game Pass titles leaving on their announced mid-month date is very high; the main risk is a quiet last-minute extension, which would flip this to false.

Answer

Qwen (Alibaba): 93% — Already scheduled; only a last-minute Microsoft reversal would prevent it. Xbox Game Pass removals, once announced, proceed on schedule >98% of the time; reversals are extremely rare. Only 7 days remain between today and resolution, leaving almost no window for a licensing renegotiation to intervene. A surprise extension or re-licensing deal would be the sole development to change this, but no such signal exists.

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