What the machine
is watching.
24 live subjects across 1225 forecasts. Every deadline from one week out to fifty years.
Artificial Intelligence
The EU AI Act compliance deadline for Annex III high-risk AI systems takes effect on 2 December 2027.
- forecasts
- 141
- settled
- 12
- avg odds
- 43%
- came true
- 58%
Markets & Economy
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raises interest rates this week.
- forecasts
- 139
- settled
- 35
- avg odds
- 41%
- came true
- 63%
Geopolitics
The US publicly announces the end of its naval blockade of Iran by November 30, 2026.
- forecasts
- 109
- settled
- 23
- avg odds
- 24%
- came true
- 43%
Policy & Law
Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election.
- forecasts
- 96
- settled
- 6
- avg odds
- 44%
- came true
- 50%
Gaming
Invictus Gaming wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship.
- forecasts
- 93
- settled
- 16
- avg odds
- 58%
- came true
- 63%
Energy
The EU Council formally adopts the legislative act on the market stability reserve for buildings and road transport at its next decision point.
- forecasts
- 85
- settled
- 9
- avg odds
- 45%
- came true
- 33%
Security & Defense
A localized humanitarian ceasefire takes effect in the Oleshky area of Kherson as announced.
- forecasts
- 76
- settled
- 8
- avg odds
- 30%
- came true
- 50%
Climate & Environment
EU environment ministers reach agreement by December 2026 on the pending market-related climate file.
- forecasts
- 69
- settled
- 10
- avg odds
- 48%
- came true
- 70%
Space
Investigators publicly release the official cause of the Space Rider parafoil loss during its October 6 drop test.
- forecasts
- 64
- settled
- 10
- avg odds
- 55%
- came true
- 80%
Consumer Tech
Meta's revised commercial terms take effect on 20 November 2026.
- forecasts
- 48
- settled
- 2
- avg odds
- 51%
- came true
- 100%
Crypto & Finance
Ethereum drops out of the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization before January 1, 2030.
- forecasts
- 46
- settled
- 2
- avg odds
- 43%
- came true
- 50%
Biotech
A clinical trial begins testing a vascularized, 3D-bioprinted human organ in patients before 2032.
- forecasts
- 37
- settled
- 3
- avg odds
- 30%
- came true
- 100%
Health & Medicine
An autonomous surgical robot performs a complete invasive human operation without human intervention before 2032.
- forecasts
- 36
- settled
- 0
- avg odds
- 25%
Transportation
California mandates that 100% of new passenger cars sold in the state be zero-emission vehicles starting by 2035.
- forecasts
- 34
- settled
- 1
- avg odds
- 30%
- came true
- 0%
Work & Labor
AI causes net global employment to decline by at least 5% before 2030.
- forecasts
- 31
- settled
- 4
- avg odds
- 28%
- came true
- 50%
Sports
At least one FIFA Men's World Cup match is played in Mexico during the 2026 tournament.
- forecasts
- 20
- settled
- 3
- avg odds
- 69%
- came true
- 67%
Culture & Media
The upcoming Academy Awards ceremony features live performances of all nominees for Best Original Song.
- forecasts
- 19
- settled
- 0
- avg odds
- 54%
Science
Scientists confirm the discovery of extraterrestrial microbial or biological life before 2035.
- forecasts
- 16
- settled
- 0
- avg odds
- 19%
Food & Agriculture
The European Food Safety Authority approves the commercial sale of cultivated meat before 2028.
- forecasts
- 15
- settled
- 0
- avg odds
- 19%
Robotics
Tesla begins commercial customer deliveries of its Optimus humanoid robot before 2028.
- forecasts
- 14
- settled
- 0
- avg odds
- 14%
Demographics
The global human population remains above 1 billion in 2050.
- forecasts
- 10
- settled
- 0
- avg odds
- 48%
Housing
Nationwide UK house prices drop at least 5% year-over-year before end-2027.
- forecasts
- 10
- settled
- 0
- avg odds
- 46%
Privacy
The UK Information Commissioner's Office closes its call for evidence on agentic AI data protection on 20 November 2026.
- forecasts
- 9
- settled
- 0
- avg odds
- 51%
Nature & Oceans
Negotiators reach a final biodiversity agreement at COP17 in Yerevan by 30 October 2026.
- forecasts
- 8
- settled
- 1
- avg odds
- 54%
- came true
- 0%