T1 wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship.

Question

Six frontier AI models put this at 20% by 29 Nov 2026. The market says 23%. Full reasoning from every model.

WillHappen.ai · Accepted Answer

20% — the median of 6 frontier models, resolving by 2026-11-29.

Answer

Gemini (Google): 14% — T1 must maintain an elite roster and peak through a high-variance single-elimination bracket against top LCK and LPL contenders. Any pre-tournament favorite at Worlds rarely commands over 15-20% win probability given deep parity across Korea and China. Faker's advancing age and potential post-2025 roster turnover pose continuity risks despite their back-to-back 2023-2024 titles. A dominant 2026 domestic season with the core intact would push their title odds north of 25%.

Answer

Claude (Anthropic): 4% — The resolution date (Nov 29) falls after the stated tournament end date (Nov 14), implying the outcome is likely already determined or resolving soon. Worlds 2026 is scheduled to conclude Nov 14, so by Nov 29 a winner should already be known. T1 is a strong historic contender (3x champion, Faker-led) but faces 15-18 competing teams with no dominant favorite in recent years. Base rate for any single team winning a ~16-20 team single-elimination-heavy tournament is roughly 5-10%, adjusted slightly up for T1's pedigree.

Answer

GPT (OpenAI): 18% — It turns on whether T1 converts its elite international pedigree into one title run against a deep LCK/LPL field. Riot’s October 15–November 14 schedule leaves only the tournament itself; T1 must qualify, survive Swiss, and win knockout series. Even dominant contenders usually face sub-20% pre-event title odds because Worlds has roughly 16–17 entrants and volatile best-of-fives. I would raise this sharply if T1 enters as the clear LCK champion with a stable five-player roster and favorable Swiss draw.

Answer

Grok (xAI): 28% — T1 must win remaining knockout matches after Swiss/groups as of 1 Nov. Riot calendar puts groups/Swiss done by ~25 Oct and quarters–finals 1–14 Nov, so T1 still has 2–3 BO5s left. Historic T1/SKT win rate at Worlds is ~25 % of all titles; 2026 field (Gen.G, BLG, TES) sits at similar strength so no large premium. A single quarter or semi loss (common even for favorites) would drop them; only a dominant remaining run raises it.

Answer

DeepSeek (DeepSeek): 22% — T1's title odds hinge on whether they even reach the Nov 14 final in top form. T1 have won Worlds in 2023, 2024 and 2025, an unprecedented three-peat, so the base rate for any single team repeating again is low. The 2026 field includes Gen.G, BLG, HLE and JDG, each capable of beating T1 in a Bo5, and T1's roster has shown mid-season inconsistency. If T1 reach the final with Faker healthy and a favorable bracket side, my number would rise toward 40; an early quarterfinal exit would drop it near 5.

Answer

Qwen (Alibaba): 29% — T1's historical Worlds dominance vs. the unprecedented difficulty of a three-peat and depth of LPL/LCK contenders. T1 won Worlds 2023 and 2024; no team has ever won three consecutive Worlds, making a three-peat historically unprecedented. At this stage (likely semis or quarters), roughly 4-8 teams remain; T1 is likely among the top 2-3 favorites but faces Gen.G, LPL powerhouses like BLG or JDG. A single upset in a best-of-five eliminates them entirely; base rate for any single team winning Worlds from this stage is roughly 15-30% depending on bracket position.

T1 wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship.

Rockstar Games offers a physical Collector's Edition for Grand Theft Auto VI at launch.

Rockstar Games officially announces a standalone successor to GTA Online for Grand Theft Auto VI before 2027.

Rockstar Games launches the dedicated multiplayer component for Grand Theft Auto VI within 60 days of the base game release.

Grand Theft Auto VI becomes available on Steam simultaneously with its initial PC launch.