Two Leisure Suit Larry titles are removed from the Xbox digital store on October 23, 2026.

Question

Six frontier AI models put this at 68% by 25 Oct 2026. Full reasoning from every model.

WillHappen.ai · Accepted Answer

68% — the median of 6 frontier models, resolving by 2026-10-25.

Answer

Gemini (Google): 88% — Delisting notices from store backend trackers almost always materialize when tied to specific licensing expirations. Assemble Entertainment typically allows short-term console distribution licenses to lapse on exact contractual anniversary dates. Xbox store scrapers like TrueAchievements rarely flag specific delisting target dates without underlying catalog deprecation flags. A last-minute contract extension or quiet relisting within the 48-hour post-deadline buffer is the only plausible failure mode.

Answer

Claude (Anthropic): 52% — Hinges on whether the publisher actually executes the previously flagged delisting date without delay. Delisting dates reported in advance from storefront metadata are often accurate since they come from scheduled backend changes. Such dates sometimes slip or get reversed due to licensing renewals or last-minute deals before the cutoff. Lack of official confirmation from publisher or Microsoft leaves some uncertainty about exact execution on this specific date.

Answer

GPT (OpenAI): 74% — The key question is whether Xbox’s reported October 23 delisting notice reflects a finalized publisher licensing decision. Microsoft or the rights holder must execute the store removal by October 23; five days is enough if the notice is already published. Reported console delistings commonly occur on their listed date, but storefront notices can be corrected or silently delayed. Confirmation from Microsoft, Assemble Entertainment, or a changed Xbox listing before October 23 would materially shift the estimate.

Answer

Grok (xAI): 62% — Whether Xbox executes the rumored 23 Oct license-expiry delist of the two LSL titles. Microsoft usually surfaces “leaving soon” banners 1–3 weeks out; none confirmed by 18 Oct cuts the odds. Sierra-era adult games have a high base rate of timed Xbox/Steam removals once licenses lapse, so the rumor sits above typical unconfirmed chatter. A store-page banner or official Xbox Wire note by 20 Oct would push this above 85.

Answer

DeepSeek (DeepSeek): 55% — Whether the reported Oct 23, 2026 Xbox delisting of two Leisure Suit Larry titles actually executes. Microsoft or the rights holder must pull the listings by Oct 23; the report is unconfirmed, so execution is the whole question. Xbox delistings usually follow license expiry and often proceed on the reported date, but unconfirmed reports sometimes slip or get reversed. Base rate for reported-but-unconfirmed delistings landing on schedule is roughly a coin flip; a Microsoft store confirmation would move me sharply.

Answer

Qwen (Alibaba): 74% — Specific-date delistings are usually reliable once they appear in store metadata, but 'unconfirmed' leaves room for postponement. Delistings with a known date typically come from Xbox's internal scheduling system or publisher notice, which rarely reverse within a week of execution. The 'unconfirmed' qualifier suggests no official publisher statement, meaning the source may be a metadata scrape or leak that could be inaccurate or premature. A last-minute license renewal or publisher intervention is the main scenario that would flip this, but that's uncommon this close to a scheduled removal date.

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