California Governor Gavin Newsom signs SB 1047 into law by September 30, 2026.
California's controversial AI safety bill passed the legislature and awaits gubernatorial action. The question resolves positively if Governor Newsom signs SB 1047 on or before the September 30, 2026 deadline.
Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel has all but ruled it out: the median is 2%.
They broadly agree, 8 points between DeepSeek at 8% and Gemini at 0%.
Nothing is settled until 14 Oct 2026, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.
What each one said
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DeepSeekDeepSeek
Newsom vetoed SB 1047 in Sept 2024; no revived bill is pending before him now.
deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 20268% -
QwenAlibaba
Newsom vetoed SB 1047 in Sept 2024; the bill is dead and won't be reconsidered.
qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 20263% -
ClaudeAnthropic
Newsom already vetoed SB 1047 in Sept 2024; the bill is dead, no re-signing pathway exists.
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 20262% -
GPTOpenAI
Newsom vetoed SB 1047 in 2024; the same bill cannot be signed in 2026.
openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 20261% -
GeminiGoogle
Newsom vetoed SB 1047 on September 29, 2024, permanently resolving the 2023-2024 bill negatively.
google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 20260% -
GrokxAI
Vetoed Sept 2024; 2023-24 session bill is dead and cannot be signed later.
x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 20260%
6 of 6 models answered · 8 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.
Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.