California's governor signs SB 813 into law by September 30, 2026.
California's governor faces a September 30, 2026 deadline to sign or veto major AI bills passed at the end of the legislative session, including SB 813.
Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel is barely on the yes side: the median is 51%.
They do not agree: Gemini puts it at 64% and DeepSeek at 12%, 52 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.
Nothing is settled until 14 Oct 2026, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.
What each one said
-
GeminiGoogle
California governors sign about 85% of passed bills, though tech industry pushback creates veto risk.
google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 202664% -
QwenAlibaba
CA governors sign most bills; but SB 813 is a major AI bill with industry opposition, raising veto risk.
qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 202662% -
GPTOpenAI
Late-session AI bills often reach the governor, but approval depends on SB 813's final scope and industry pushback.
openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 202657% -
ClaudeAnthropic
Uncertain bill content/political dynamics; base rate for gov signing vs vetoing contested AI bills is mixed
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 202645% -
GrokxAI
Newsom vetoed similar AI bills (e.g.
- SB 1047); major AI measures often die at his desk.
42% -
DeepSeekDeepSeek
No legislative text/status surfaced; end-of-session AI bills often stall or get held in committee.
deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 202612%
6 of 6 models answered · 52 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.
Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.