Crew-13 crop production experiments yield usable research data before the conclusion of their six-month ISS mission.

• G
  GrokxAI

  Whether Crew-13 plant hardware returns at least one downlinkable growth cycle before undock.

  • NASA must run Veggie or APH through a full cycle with cameras/sensors sending data to ground before the six-month return.
  • ISS crop experiments succeed >80% of increments; total data loss is rare without power or atmosphere failure.
  • An early abort or unrecoverable hardware fault would reverse this; otherwise science updates routinely confirm usable results.

  x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 6 Oct 2026
  92%
• D
  DeepSeekDeepSeek

  Whether NASA's own science updates confirm usable plant-growth data before Crew-13's return window closes.

  • Crew-13 is already aboard the ISS, and NASA typically publishes Veggie/APH plant-growth results within weeks of harvest, not months.
  • Prior ISS crop experiments (Veg-04, Veg-05, APH) all returned usable data mid-mission, so the base rate for this class is very high.
  • The only real failure mode is a hardware abort or replan that scrubs the plant payload, which would most change my mind.

  deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 6 Oct 2026
  92%
• G
  GPTOpenAI

  Routine ISS plant payload operations make at least one usable dataset during a six-month increment highly likely.

  • NASA astronauts and ground teams must operate the growth hardware and downlink or preserve measurements before an expected April 2027 return.
  • ISS biology investigations routinely produce interim imagery, environmental logs, and samples; total loss would require hardware, crop, or schedule failure.
  • A major payload anomaly, delayed launch, or early crew return would materially lower the chance.

  openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 6 Oct 2026
  91%
• G
  GeminiGoogle

  Success depends on avoiding catastrophic hardware failure in ISS growth chambers like Veggie or APH during the mission.

  • NASA plant experiments on the ISS routinely produce peer-reviewed baseline data over 90% of the time across past Crew increments.
  • Crew-13 would need to experience severe early mission aborts or multiple chamber power losses to prevent data collection.
  • A major mechanical failure in root hydration systems aboard the station before harvest would drop odds significantly.

  google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 6 Oct 2026
  88%
• C
  ClaudeAnthropic

  Routine ISS plant experiments almost always produce usable data regardless of outcome, including failures which NASA still reports as data.

  • ISS crop experiments (VEG-01, Plant Habitat series, APEX) have a strong track record of yielding reportable data even when growth is suboptimal.
  • NASA science updates typically report preliminary findings mid-mission, well before six months elapse, satisfying the 'before conclusion' bar.
  • Main risk is a catastrophic equipment failure or mission disruption preventing any data collection, which is historically rare.

  anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 6 Oct 2026
  88%
• Q
  QwenAlibaba

  Crew-13 plant experiments follow a well-established ISS crop-science pipeline; data yield is near-routine but not guaranteed.

  • NASA's Veggie and APH programs have produced usable data on nearly every crewed increment since 2014, giving a high base rate (~90%) for data return.
  • Six months is ample time for at least one full growth cycle (typically 33–56 days for leafy greens), and downlink bandwidth is not a bottleneck.
  • Main risk is hardware failure or contamination aborting the experiment; a single successful harvest with viable samples would satisfy 'usable data'.

  qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 6 Oct 2026
  82%

6 of 6 models answered · 10 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.