Space predictions

66 dated questions on launches, landings, crewed missions, commercial space — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price. Of those, 8 have passed their deadlines and been graded against cited sources.

Space predictions

NASA's Psyche spacecraft arrives at the asteroid Psyche in summer 2029.

NASA launches Artemis III by the end of summer 2027.

Investigators publicly release the official cause of the Space Rider parafoil loss during its October 6 drop test.

NASA astronauts complete a scheduled spacewalk from the International Space Station the week of November 2, 2026.

NASA's Psyche spacecraft arrives at asteroid Psyche by September 22, 2029.

NASA's Roman Space Telescope successfully completes commissioning and initiates science operations.

NASA lands a crewed mission on the lunar surface by the end of 2028.

Mars reaches opposition and is prominently visible in the night sky before December 2027.

Japan's MMX mission successfully collects and returns samples containing Mars dust.

A crewed mission successfully lands on Mars before 2035.

The compact microplate reader tested aboard the ISS successfully detects target biomarkers in orbit during CRS-35 operations.

NASA maintains its target of landing American astronauts on the Moon by 2028 in its October 23, 2026 update.

SpaceX CRS-35 payloads begin their planned multiweek ISS research runs following an October 2026 launch.

Follow-up spectroscopy confirms the chemical similarity between the planet 320 light-years away and its host star.

SpaceX conducts its 35th ISS commercial resupply launch before November 1, 2026.

NASA and SpaceX launch the ISS resupply mission carrying Roll-Out Solar Arrays on October 13, 2026.

A functional nuclear fission reactor is deployed on the Moon before 2032.

Mars reaches its next close perihelic opposition to Earth before January 2036.

A self-sustaining, pressurized bio-dome habitat operates on Mars before 2050.

A continuously inhabited human settlement is established on Mars before 2050.

Humans land on the surface of Mars before 2035.

Crewed spaceflight reaches the surface of Mars before 2035.

The first Science and Space Symposium takes place in Lisbon on October 21–22, 2026.

The National Academies Space Studies Board holds its Human Exploration Across the Moon webinar on October 21, 2026.

NASA concludes its participation in the 77th International Astronautical Congress by October 9, 2026.

NASA and SpaceX launch a mission to the International Space Station on or before October 13, 2026.

Deep-space technology demonstrations aboard the ISS validate successfully during NASA's Crew-13 mission.

Crew-13 crop production experiments yield usable research data before the conclusion of their six-month ISS mission.

Humans land on Mars before 2035.

NASA's Swift Observatory reenters Earth's atmosphere within weeks of October 2026.

Crew-12 undocks from the International Space Station on October 7, 2026.✓ happened

SpaceX completes three orbital launches within a 13-hour window on October 1, 2026.✓ happened

Weather conditions permit the launch of NASA's Crew-13 mission on October 1, 2026.✓ happened

NASA's Crew-13 launches and docks on October 1, 2026.✓ happened

NASA and SpaceX launch Crew-13 on October 1, 2026 and dock with the ISS in under nine hours.✓ happened

Humans land on the Moon again before December 31, 2030.

A crewed mission successfully lands humans on Mars before December 31, 2035.

NASA launches the Crew-13 mission to the International Space Station following repairs to the SpaceX Dragon leak.

NASA awards Boeing's Starliner new missions following ongoing post-flight discussions.

Google launches its Project Suncatcher prototype satellite for in-orbit AI computing testing by October 2026.✓ happened

The biomedical test satellite Yixian-B launches into orbit by March 31, 2027.

The US GAO upholds NASA's Mars Telecommunications Network contract award to Blue Origin against Rocket Lab's protest.

SpaceX conducts its first Starship orbital test on or before September 22, 2026.✗ didn't

The Progress 96 cargo spacecraft launches and docks with the International Space Station on September 16, 2026.✗ didn't

NASA's Roman Space Telescope reaches its final operational orbit within three months of its August 30 launch.

A permanent human settlement is established on Mars before 2050.

Humans land on the Moon again before 2030.

A crewed mission lands humans on Mars before 2035.

The Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit and completes initial commissioning on schedule.

The Orbital Launch Tower chopsticks successfully catch the Starship upper stage during Flight Test 14.

BepiColombo achieves Mercury orbital capture by November 21, 2026.

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its planned operational orbit by November 30, 2026.

The Roman Space Telescope reaches its final operational orbit by December 2026.

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit around L2 following its August 2026 launch.

ESA's BepiColombo mission achieves Mercury polar-orbit capture on or before November 21, 2026.

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its operational orbit by November 30, 2026.

Blue Origin delivers the Mars telecommunications orbiter to NASA by December 31, 2028.

The Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope reaches its final operational orbit within three months of launch.

Blue Origin signs a formal contract to build a Mars telecommunications network.

NASA shuts down two science instruments on the New Horizons probe due to budget shortfalls.