Ethereum reaches $3,200 on Binance during September 2026.
ETH prices fluctuate with crypto market sentiment. This resolves as true if the ETH/USDT 1-minute high hits or exceeds $3,200 before October 1, 2026.
Across 4 frontier models answering independently, the panel is barely on the yes side: the median is 52%.
They do not agree: GPT puts it at 57% and DeepSeek at 12%, 45 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.
Money disagrees. The market sits at 0%, so the models are 52 points more confident than people with cash on the outcome — one of the wider gaps in the archive.
Nothing is settled until 1 Oct 2026, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.
- AI edge
- +52 pts
- Moved this week
- -2 pts
- Since we asked
- -7 pts
- Volume
- $776K
The models are sharply more confident than traders risking real money: 52% against 0%.
What each one said
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GPTOpenAI
Over half the month remains; ETH frequently makes 10–20% swings in risk-on crypto periods.
openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 202657% -
GeminiGoogle
Crypto cyclicality suggests 2026 may be a post-peak bear year, but baseline valuation often stays near $3,200.
google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 202654% -
ClaudeAnthropic
Depends on current ETH price relative to $3200; insufficient data on current level to be confident
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 202650% -
DeepSeekDeepSeek
ETH must rally ~15%+ in 16 days; crypto rarely does that absent a major catalyst.
deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 202612% -
GrokxAIno answer this run x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 2026–
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QwenAlibabano answer this run qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 2026–
4 of 6 models answered · 45 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.
Resolution criteria
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Question sourced from Polymarket on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.