Crypto & Finance predictions

46 dated questions on bitcoin, ETFs, stablecoins, exchanges, regulation — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price. Of those, 2 have passed their deadlines and been graded against cited sources.

forecasts
46
average odds
43%
settled
2
came true
50%

Next deadline · Ethereum reaches $3,200 on Binance during September 2026.

5Y 25 Oct 2031

Ethereum drops out of the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization before January 1, 2030.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 16
15%
AI
3Y 25 Oct 2029

Ethereum reaches a price of $5,000 before January 1, 2028.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 37
64%
AI
3Y 1 Jan 2028

Predict.fun fully diluted valuation exceeds $1 billion one day after token launch.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 18 vs market -41
20%
AI vs 61%
10Y 23 Oct 2036

Ethereum reaches a price of $100,000 before January 1, 2035.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 15
8%
AI
1Y 26 Oct 2027

Bitcoin experiences a single-day drop of at least 20% before November 1, 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 53
25%
AI
3Y 25 Oct 2029

Bitcoin reaches a price of $200,000 before January 1, 2028.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 30
38%
AI
50Y 13 Oct 2076

The final Bitcoin is mined before the year 2141.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 41
1%
AI
3Y 18 Oct 2029

Bitcoin experiences a 100% gain from its 2026 low before the end of 2028.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 27
81%
AI
10Y 16 Oct 2036

Bitcoin reaches $1,000,000 per coin before January 1, 2035.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 31
18%
AI
1Y 19 Oct 2027

Bitcoin recovers to trade above $100,000 before July 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 40
65%
AI
3Y 18 Oct 2029

Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high before the end of 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 66
76%
AI
3M 1 Jan 2027

Bitcoin drops to $50,000 or lower by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 22 vs market +14
22%
AI vs 8%
10Y 10 Oct 2036

A quantum computer successfully breaks Bitcoin's SHA-256 or ECDSA cryptography before 2035.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 21
7%
AI
3Y 11 Oct 2029

Ethereum reaches a price of $5,000 before the end of 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 40
58%
AI
5Y 11 Oct 2031

Ethereum reaches a price of $10,000 before 2030.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 41
38%
AI
50Y 28 Sept 2076

Bitcoin mining rewards remain active with transaction fees exceeding block subsidies by 2040.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 60
35%
AI
10Y 8 Oct 2036

Bitcoin maintains an active blockchain with regular blocks and market trading through 2036.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 15
91%
AI
10Y 8 Oct 2036

Bitcoin reaches a price of $1,000,000 before 2035.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 28
14%
AI
3Y 10 Oct 2029

Bitcoin sets a new all-time high price before the end of 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 60
71%
AI
1W 12 Oct 2026

Bitcoin drops to $78,000 or lower on Binance between October 5 and October 11, 2026.✗ didn't

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 68 vs market +16
16%
AI vs 0%
1W 12 Oct 2026

Ethereum drops to $2,500 or lower between October 5 and October 11, 2026.✓ happened

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 36 vs market -77
23%
AI vs 100%
3Y 4 Oct 2029

Bitcoin completes its fifth block reward halving before May 2028.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 11
97%
AI
3Y 4 Oct 2029

Bitcoin's price increases by more than 100% within any rolling 12-month period before 2029.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 26
80%
AI
5Y 4 Oct 2031

A cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin reaches a market capitalization exceeding Bitcoin's before 2030.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 12
8%
AI
50Y 21 Sept 2076

The final Bitcoin block subsidy is mined before the year 2140.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 96
20%
AI
3M 2 Jan 2027

Bitcoin does not set a new 52-week low before the end of 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 40
62%
AI
6M 1 Jan 2027

Bitcoin reaches $90,000 by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 76 vs market +28
70%
AI vs 42%
6M 1 Jan 2027

Bitcoin trades at or below $70,000 by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 64 vs market +1
34%
AI vs 33%
6M 1 Jan 2027

Bitcoin dips to $55,000 or lower by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 27 vs market +23
33%
AI vs 10%
1Y 26 Sept 2027

Bitcoin declines by 30% or more from its 2026 peak before April 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 25
70%
AI
1Y 26 Sept 2027

Total cryptocurrency market capitalization drops by at least 50% from its 2026 high before mid-2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 43
38%
AI
3M 25 Dec 2026

Total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches a new all-time high before the end of 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 49
50%
AI
3Y 1 Jan 2028

Variational's fully diluted valuation exceeds $1 billion one day after its token launch.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 24 vs market -31
25%
AI vs 56%
6M 1 Jan 2027

Ethereum reaches $3,500 by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 54 vs market +44
55%
AI vs 11%
6M 1 Jan 2027

Bitcoin reaches $130,000 by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 16 vs market +32
36%
AI vs 4%
6M 1 Jan 2027

Ethereum dips to $2,250 or lower by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 59 vs market -52
30%
AI vs 82%
6M 1 Jan 2027

Ethereum dips to $2,000 or lower on Binance by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 20 vs market -5
31%
AI vs 36%
3Y 18 Sept 2029

Bitcoin trades at or above $150,000 before January 1, 2028.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 26
55%
AI
3Y 17 Sept 2029

Bitcoin's fifth block reward halving occurs before June 1, 2028.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 6
97%
AI
1Y 18 Sept 2027

Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 before July 1, 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 71
84%
AI
10Y 15 Sept 2036

Bitcoin trades at or above $1,000,000 before January 1, 2035.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 38
15%
AI
3Y 17 Sept 2029

Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high price before the end of 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 29
78%
AI
6M 1 Jan 2027

Ethereum drops to $1,500 or lower on Binance by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 20 vs market +6
16%
AI vs 10%
6M 1 Jan 2027

Bitcoin drops to $45,000 or lower by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 23 vs market +9
15%
AI vs 6%
1M 1 Oct 2026

Ethereum reaches $3,200 on Binance during September 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 45 vs market +52
52%
AI vs 0%
6M 1 Jan 2027

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is signed into law before 2027.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 33 vs market +15
19%
AI vs 4%
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