Crypto & Finance predictions
46 dated questions on bitcoin, ETFs, stablecoins, exchanges, regulation — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price. Of those, 2 have passed their deadlines and been graded against cited sources.
- forecasts
- 46
- average odds
- 43%
- settled
- 2
- came true
- 50%
5Y
25 Oct 2031
Ethereum drops out of the top 5 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization before January 1, 2030.
15%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
Ethereum reaches a price of $5,000 before January 1, 2028.
64%
AI
3Y
1 Jan 2028
Predict.fun fully diluted valuation exceeds $1 billion one day after token launch.
20%
AI vs 61%
10Y
23 Oct 2036
Ethereum reaches a price of $100,000 before January 1, 2035.
8%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
Bitcoin experiences a single-day drop of at least 20% before November 1, 2027.
25%
AI
3Y
25 Oct 2029
Bitcoin reaches a price of $200,000 before January 1, 2028.
38%
AI
50Y
13 Oct 2076
The final Bitcoin is mined before the year 2141.
1%
AI
3Y
18 Oct 2029
Bitcoin experiences a 100% gain from its 2026 low before the end of 2028.
81%
AI
10Y
16 Oct 2036
Bitcoin reaches $1,000,000 per coin before January 1, 2035.
18%
AI
1Y
19 Oct 2027
Bitcoin recovers to trade above $100,000 before July 2027.
65%
AI
3Y
18 Oct 2029
Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high before the end of 2027.
76%
AI
3M
1 Jan 2027
Bitcoin drops to $50,000 or lower by December 31, 2026.
22%
AI vs 8%
10Y
10 Oct 2036
A quantum computer successfully breaks Bitcoin's SHA-256 or ECDSA cryptography before 2035.
7%
AI
3Y
11 Oct 2029
Ethereum reaches a price of $5,000 before the end of 2027.
58%
AI
5Y
11 Oct 2031
Ethereum reaches a price of $10,000 before 2030.
38%
AI
50Y
28 Sept 2076
Bitcoin mining rewards remain active with transaction fees exceeding block subsidies by 2040.
35%
AI
10Y
8 Oct 2036
Bitcoin maintains an active blockchain with regular blocks and market trading through 2036.
91%
AI
10Y
8 Oct 2036
Bitcoin reaches a price of $1,000,000 before 2035.
14%
AI
3Y
10 Oct 2029
Bitcoin sets a new all-time high price before the end of 2027.
71%
AI
1W
12 Oct 2026
Bitcoin drops to $78,000 or lower on Binance between October 5 and October 11, 2026.✗ didn't
16%
AI vs 0%
1W
12 Oct 2026
Ethereum drops to $2,500 or lower between October 5 and October 11, 2026.✓ happened
23%
AI vs 100%
3Y
4 Oct 2029
Bitcoin completes its fifth block reward halving before May 2028.
97%
AI
3Y
4 Oct 2029
Bitcoin's price increases by more than 100% within any rolling 12-month period before 2029.
80%
AI
5Y
4 Oct 2031
A cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin reaches a market capitalization exceeding Bitcoin's before 2030.
8%
AI
50Y
21 Sept 2076
The final Bitcoin block subsidy is mined before the year 2140.
20%
AI
3M
2 Jan 2027
Bitcoin does not set a new 52-week low before the end of 2026.
62%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
Bitcoin reaches $90,000 by December 31, 2026.
70%
AI vs 42%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Bitcoin trades at or below $70,000 by December 31, 2026.
34%
AI vs 33%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Bitcoin dips to $55,000 or lower by December 31, 2026.
33%
AI vs 10%
1Y
26 Sept 2027
Bitcoin declines by 30% or more from its 2026 peak before April 2027.
70%
AI
1Y
26 Sept 2027
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization drops by at least 50% from its 2026 high before mid-2027.
38%
AI
3M
25 Dec 2026
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization reaches a new all-time high before the end of 2026.
50%
AI
3Y
1 Jan 2028
Variational's fully diluted valuation exceeds $1 billion one day after its token launch.
25%
AI vs 56%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Ethereum reaches $3,500 by December 31, 2026.
55%
AI vs 11%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Bitcoin reaches $130,000 by December 31, 2026.
36%
AI vs 4%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Ethereum dips to $2,250 or lower by December 31, 2026.
30%
AI vs 82%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Ethereum dips to $2,000 or lower on Binance by December 31, 2026.
31%
AI vs 36%
3Y
18 Sept 2029
Bitcoin trades at or above $150,000 before January 1, 2028.
55%
AI
3Y
17 Sept 2029
Bitcoin's fifth block reward halving occurs before June 1, 2028.
97%
AI
1Y
18 Sept 2027
Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 before July 1, 2027.
84%
AI
10Y
15 Sept 2036
Bitcoin trades at or above $1,000,000 before January 1, 2035.
15%
AI
3Y
17 Sept 2029
Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high price before the end of 2027.
78%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
Ethereum drops to $1,500 or lower on Binance by December 31, 2026.
16%
AI vs 10%
6M
1 Jan 2027
Bitcoin drops to $45,000 or lower by December 31, 2026.
15%
AI vs 6%
1M
1 Oct 2026
Ethereum reaches $3,200 on Binance during September 2026.
52%
AI vs 0%
6M
1 Jan 2027
The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is signed into law before 2027.
19%
AI vs 4%
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