The D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals agrees to review the rollback of carbon pollution standards for fossil-fuel power plants.
Twenty-six states and cities petitioned the D.C. Circuit to review the Trump administration's power plant emission rollbacks. A formal docket entry granting review or setting a hearing schedule resolves this.
Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel treats this as close to settled: the median is 92%.
They broadly agree, 29 points between Qwen at 97% and Claude at 68%.
Nothing is settled until 2 Oct 2027, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.
What each one said
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QwenAlibaba
The D.C. Circuit has already docketed this case; the question is whether it formally grants review, which is near-certain given standing petitions.
- The D.C. Circuit has a statutory obligation under the Clean Air Act to hear challenges to EPA rules; 26 states petitioned, so jurisdiction is clear.
- Historically, the D.C. Circuit grants review of EPA rule challenges at rates above 95% when petitioners have standing, which state AGs always do.
- A docket entry setting briefing schedule or oral argument would resolve this; the court typically does so within months of petition filing, well before Oct 2027.
97% -
GPTOpenAI
The D.C. Circuit almost certainly will docket and schedule merits review of a timely Clean Air Act challenge within a year.
- Petitions already filed by 26 governments give the court a live administrative-law case; the clerk and panel control the next steps.
- D.C. Circuit review of nationally applicable EPA rules is the ordinary statutory path, and merits scheduling commonly follows briefing in months.
- This would fall mainly if EPA withdraws, replaces, or stays the rollback before briefing, mooting the petitions.
93% -
GeminiGoogle
The Clean Air Act grants direct review of EPA standards to the D.C. Circuit, making formal review virtually automatic.
- Under 42 U.S.C. 7607(b), the D.C. Circuit has mandatory original jurisdiction over EPA national rulemaking challenges.
- A formal briefing or oral argument schedule docket entry is virtually guaranteed well before October 2027.
- Only a wholesale standing dismissal or an early voluntary remand without scheduling would prevent this from triggering.
92% -
GrokxAI
CAA petitions for review of EPA power-plant rules are docketed as of right in D.C. Circuit.
- States already filed; Clean Air Act §307(b) gives the court mandatory jurisdiction once a final rule issues.
- Briefing or argument schedules are routinely set within months of a timely petition, well inside the one-year window.
- Only a withdrawal of the rule or a jurisdictional dismissal would stop review; neither is the base-rate outcome for these challenges.
92% -
DeepSeekDeepSeek
The D.C. Circuit almost never refuses a properly filed petition for review of a final EPA rule.
- Twenty-six states and cities filed a timely petition for review of a final rule, and the D.C. Circuit's jurisdiction is mandatory, not discretionary.
- The court has already docketed the case; the only question is whether it issues a scheduling order or consolidates before October 2027.
- Base rate: the D.C. Circuit grants review in essentially every final EPA rule challenge; it has no certiorari-style discretion here.
88% -
ClaudeAnthropic
Hinges on whether the EPA finalizes repeal and petitioners get standing before the D.C. Circuit's typical docketing timeline.
- Courts of appeals routinely grant review/docket petitions challenging final EPA rules, so procedural acceptance is near-automatic once a final rule issues.
- 26 states/cities already filed petitions, showing active litigants ready to push the case through standard briefing schedules within a year.
- Main risk is delay if EPA's final rule is still pending or gets withdrawn/revised, which would push docketing past Oct 2027.
68%
6 of 6 models answered · 29 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.
Question sourced from a news sweep on 2 Oct 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.