◆ ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 3 YEARS HORIZON RESOLVES 13 SEPT 2029 · in 2.9y

The EU AI Act standalone Annex III high-risk compliance deadline takes effect on 2 December 2027 without further delay.

The compliance deadline for standalone high-risk systems under Annex III was pushed to December 2, 2027 via Regulation (EU) 2026/1744. The milestone requires covered systems to satisfy strict conformity assessments.

Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel leans yes: the median is 67%.

They do not agree: DeepSeek puts it at 88% and GPT at 57%, 31 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.

Nothing is settled until 13 Sept 2029, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.

MODEL BY MODEL

What each one said

  • DeepSeekDeepSeek

    Deadline already legislated for Dec 2027; further delay needs new law, unlikely in 15 months.

    deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    88%
  • GeminiGoogle

    Postponement already happened once; legislative appetite for additional delay before late 2027 is low.

    google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    76%
  • QwenAlibaba

    Already delayed once via 2026/1744; further delay possible if standards/infrastructure lag, but political will to delay again is lower.

    qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    72%
  • GrokxAI

    Just delayed once; another amendment needs slow EU process amid standards/notified-body gaps.

    x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    62%
  • ClaudeAnthropic

    EU already delayed once; more delay lobbying likely but not certain by 2027

    anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    58%
  • GPTOpenAI

    A fresh postponement shows political willingness to delay, but two years remains ample for implementation.

    openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 2026
    57%

6 of 6 models answered · 31 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.

WHAT DO YOU THINK?
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Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.