◆ ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 3 YEARS HORIZON RESOLVES 13 SEPT 2029 · in 2.9y

The EU amends or issues official implementing guidance for Annex III high-risk AI obligations before December 2, 2027.

Regulation (EU) 2026/1744 pushed the standalone Annex III high-risk AI compliance date under the EU AI Act to December 2, 2027.

Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel leans yes: the median is 78%.

They do not agree: Gemini puts it at 92% and Qwen at 62%, 30 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.

Nothing is settled until 13 Sept 2029, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.

MODEL BY MODEL

What each one said

  • GeminiGoogle

    Commission is obligated and routine practice demands guidance ahead of enforcement deadlines.

    google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    92%
  • DeepSeekDeepSeek

    EU routinely issues implementing guidance before high-risk AI deadlines; 3+ years is ample time.

    deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    88%
  • ClaudeAnthropic

    EU routinely issues implementing/guidance acts before major compliance deadlines; 3-year window is ample

    anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    78%
  • GPTOpenAI

    A two-year deferral creates strong pressure for Commission guidance before obligations begin.

    openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 2026
    78%
  • GrokxAI

    Commission routinely issues AI Act guidelines/implementing acts near delayed high-risk deadlines.

    x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    78%
  • QwenAlibaba

    EU routinely issues implementing guidance before major compliance deadlines; Annex III categories are ambiguous enough to demand clarification.

    qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    62%

6 of 6 models answered · 30 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.

WHAT DO YOU THINK?
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Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.