◆ ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 3 YEARS HORIZON RESOLVES 13 SEPT 2029 · in 2.9y

The European Commission maintains the 2 December 2027 compliance deadline for Annex III high-risk AI systems without further extension.

Regulation 2026/1744 delayed Annex III high-risk compliance from August 2026 to December 2027. Meeting this milestone tests adherence to the revised regulatory schedule.

Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel is barely on the yes side: the median is 62%.

They do not agree: Gemini puts it at 74% and Grok at 42%, 32 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.

Nothing is settled until 13 Sept 2029, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.

MODEL BY MODEL

What each one said

  • GeminiGoogle

    Re-opening co-decision to postpone twice is politically costly; soft enforcement is preferred over delays.

    google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    74%
  • ClaudeAnthropic

    Already delayed once; industry lobbying and implementation gaps often trigger further extensions before 2027 deadline

    anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    62%
  • DeepSeekDeepSeek

    EU AI Act deadlines have slipped once already; political pressure for simplification persists, but no new delay is yet proposed.

    deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    62%
  • QwenAlibaba

    One delay already happened; political pressure to delay again is real but the EC has credibility incentives to hold.

    qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    62%
  • GPTOpenAI

    Further delay is possible, but a one-time reset and strong implementation incentives favor holding the date.

    openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 2026
    61%
  • GrokxAI

    EU already delayed once in 2026; standards/codes often slip, so another extension remains likely.

    x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    42%

6 of 6 models answered · 32 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.

WHAT DO YOU THINK?
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Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.