◆ ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 3 YEARS HORIZON RESOLVES 13 SEPT 2029 · in 2.9y

The European Union further modifies AI Act compliance deadlines or carve-outs before 2 December 2027.

Omnibus Regulation 2026/1744 pushed the Annex III high-risk deadline to December 2027. Any further statutory delay or exemption enacted before that date counts.

Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel leans no: the median is 40%.

They do not agree: GPT puts it at 67% and Grok at 37%, 30 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.

Nothing is settled until 13 Sept 2029, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.

MODEL BY MODEL

What each one said

  • GPTOpenAI

    A major deadline shift invites implementation lobbying; EU AI rules have already been amended once pre-application.

    openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 2026
    67%
  • ClaudeAnthropic

    EU has repeatedly amended AI Act timelines under industry pressure; more delays plausible before Dec 2027

    anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    58%
  • DeepSeekDeepSeek

    EU already delayed once under industry pressure; further tweaks plausible but require full co-decision by late 2027.

    deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    42%
  • GeminiGoogle

    Subsequent postponements happen if standardization bodies lag, but EU legislative inertia resists tweaks.

    google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    38%
  • QwenAlibaba

    EU has precedent for AI Act delays; political pressure from industry is real, but further changes require legislative process.

    qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    38%
  • GrokxAI

    Just delayed via 2026 omnibus; another statutory change in ~15 months needs fresh co-decision amid mixed pressure.

    x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    37%

6 of 6 models answered · 30 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.

WHAT DO YOU THINK?
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Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.