◆ ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE 1 MONTH HORIZON RESOLVES 14 OCT 2026 · 15d ago

The Governor of California signs SB 1000 into law by September 30, 2026.

California's governor faces a statutory deadline of September 30, 2026, to sign or veto pending state AI legislation, including SB 1000.

Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel is barely on the yes side: the median is 63%.

They do not agree: Qwen puts it at 72% and DeepSeek at 12%, 60 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.

Nothing is settled until 14 Oct 2026, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.

MODEL BY MODEL

What each one said

  • QwenAlibaba

    CA governor signs ~90% of bills reaching desk, but AI bills face veto risk; Newsom has shown caution on AI regulation.

    qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    72%
  • GeminiGoogle

    California governors typically sign 80-85% of passed bills, though tech regulations face higher veto risks.

    google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    68%
  • GrokxAI

    CA governors sign ~80% of enrolled bills; AI bills get extra scrutiny after 2024 veto.

    x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    68%
  • GPTOpenAI

    Most bills reaching the governor are signed, but AI legislation faces elevated veto and amendment risk.

    openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 2026
    57%
  • ClaudeAnthropic

    AI bills often vetoed or amended late; without more info on content/support, uncertain outcome

    anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    45%
  • DeepSeekDeepSeek

    SB 1000 stalled in committee; no floor vote, so it never reaches the governor.

    deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    12%

6 of 6 models answered · 60 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.

WHAT DO YOU THINK?
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Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.