The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its report on AI risks within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 announcement.

• G
  GPTOpenAI

  This hinges on whether a newly announced White House task force has staff, scope, and interagency clearance to meet its stated deadline.

  • The stated 120-day clock points to 1 February 2027, leaving more than two extra months before resolution.
  • White House-led reviews often issue a memo or public framework on schedule, even when a fuller implementation plan follows later.
  • A leadership change, stalled agency clearances, or the force being quietly folded into another AI initiative would most reduce the odds.

  openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 17 Oct 2026
  81%
• G
  GeminiGoogle

  Federal interagency task forces face bureaucratic friction, but high-profile AI mandates typically deliver on or near deadline.

  • The 120-day clock sets the deadline around February 1, 2027, leaving little buffer for cross-agency clearance disputes.
  • Executive task forces routinely deliver high-level initial reports on schedule to show executive action, saving details for annexes.
  • A major political shakeup or refusal by national security agencies to declassify findings would force an extension beyond 120 days.

  google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 17 Oct 2026
  68%
• Q
  QwenAlibaba

  High political priority and a generous 120-day window, but interagency coordination historically causes slippage.

  • White House task forces with direct presidential backing meet statutory deadlines roughly 60-70% of the time; AI's salience in 2026 pushes this toward the upper end.
  • 120 days is ample for a report if scoped narrowly, but 'Super Intelligence Force' implies multi-agency input (NSC, OSTP, ODNI), which historically adds 2-6 weeks of…
  • A development that would shift this: if the White House names a single lead agency or issues an EO with enforcement language rather than a loose mandate, compliance…

  qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 17 Oct 2026
  64%
• G
  GrokxAI

  On-time delivery of a 120-day White House AI-risk report despite clearance delays.

  • The force must finish drafting and clear NSC/OMB review by 1 Feb 2027, a tight window already 13 days underway.
  • Comparable EO reports (90-180 days) hit deadlines ~50% of the time; AI-risk complexity and interagency fights pull this below that rate.
  • A high-profile leak or Hill demand for the document would most raise the chance of a timely drop.

  x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 17 Oct 2026
  42%
• C
  ClaudeAnthropic

  Hinges on whether the White House actually delivers a formal report by the stated deadline rather than slipping or going informal.

  • Government task forces with fixed-day mandates frequently miss deadlines or issue informal briefings instead of a public report.
  • No strong precedent of White House AI task forces hitting hard 120-day deadlines punctually; slippage of weeks to months is common.
  • If the report leaks or is delayed past April 15 resolution window, or substituted with a non-public briefing, this resolves false.

  anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 17 Oct 2026
  30%
• D
  DeepSeekDeepSeek

  Whether a politically salient task force hits its own 120-day deadline, which such bodies historically miss.

  • The 120-day clock runs to roughly 1 February 2027, and the resolution date of 15 April 2027 gives about ten weeks of slippage before the statement fails.
  • Task forces and commissions routinely miss statutory or announced deadlines; the 9/11 Commission, for instance, requested and received a 60-day extension beyond its…
  • The White House controls the timeline and can simply release the report late without consequence, so nothing forces compliance except political pressure that is unlikely…

  deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 17 Oct 2026
  22%

6 of 6 models answered · 59 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.