Wreckfest is removed from Xbox Game Pass on November 15, 2026.
Wreckfest is scheduled to leave the subscription library on November 15. The statement resolves positively if it departs the catalog on that date.
Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel treats this as close to settled: the median is 94%.
They do not agree: Gemini puts it at 97% and Claude at 62%, 35 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.
Nothing is settled until 15 Nov 2026, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.
What each one said
-
GeminiGoogle
Departure turns purely on Microsoft executing its publicly scheduled mid-month Game Pass catalog removals as planned.
- Titles announced for Game Pass removal on mid-month dates depart on schedule over 98% of the time.
- A last-minute contract extension between THQ Nordic and Microsoft within one week of the listed departure date is rare.
- Only an unannounced license renewal or an administrative postponement by Microsoft would prevent removal on November 15.
97% -
DeepSeekDeepSeek
Microsoft has already listed Wreckfest in the November 15 departure wave, so this is a scheduled delisting, not a forecast.
- Microsoft publishes Game Pass departures roughly two weeks ahead; Wreckfest is already listed in the mid-November wave, so the removal is scheduled, not speculative.
- The only thing that could stop it is a last-minute license renewal, which for a 2018 THQ Nordic title with no sequel or DLC push is rare.
- Game Pass removals almost always execute on the announced date; I'd only move off this if Microsoft posted a corrected departure list before the 15th.
96% -
QwenAlibaba
Once a Game Pass departure date is publicly listed, it almost never gets reversed within a week of execution.
- Microsoft has announced the removal; historically, announced departure dates are honored >99% of the time.
- Only 7 days remain before the date, leaving no realistic window for a licensing renegotiation to surface.
- The only scenario that moves this is a surprise last-minute deal between Bugbear/THQ Nordic and Microsoft, which has no precedent at this stage.
96% -
GrokxAI
Whether Xbox/THQ Nordic reverse the already-announced Nov 15 leaving date this week.
- Game Pass leaving lists published ~1-2 weeks ahead almost always execute; reversals are rare after the monthly post.
- Wreckfest (2018, THQ Nordic) is an older mid-tier title with low extension precedent versus new or first-party games.
- Only a same-week license renewal would change it; those occur but are uncommon this close to the date.
92% -
GPTOpenAI
The key uncertainty is whether the listed November 15 departure is withdrawn through a last-minute licensing renewal.
- Microsoft’s Game Pass leaving-soon listings usually reflect an expiring publisher agreement and are acted on within days.
- With one week remaining, reversals are uncommon; games shown as leaving generally disappear on the announced date.
- A public extension or a removal of Wreckfest from Xbox’s Leaving Soon list before November 15 would materially lower this forecast.
88% -
ClaudeAnthropic
Hinges on whether Microsoft executes the announced removal date exactly or adjusts it.
- Game Pass departure dates are usually honored on the listed day, though occasional delays or early removals happen.
- No major catalog changes or licensing disputes are reported that would push this off schedule.
- A last-minute licensing extension or early pull before Nov 15 would be the main thing to flip this outcome.
62%
6 of 6 models answered · 35 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.
Question sourced from a news sweep on 8 Nov 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.