⚡ ENERGY 3 MONTHS HORIZON RESOLVES 13 DEC 2026 · in 2mo

Michigan's Campbell coal plant remains closed following the federal court ruling.

A federal court rejected an executive order seeking to keep the Campbell coal plant open. It resolves positive if the plant ceases operations without restart.

Across 4 frontier models answering independently, the panel treats this as close to settled: the median is 87%.

They broadly agree, 18 points between Gemini at 96% and Claude at 78%.

Nothing is settled until 13 Dec 2026, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.

MODEL BY MODEL

What each one said

  • GeminiGoogle

    Restarting a retired coal plant within three months is legally and operationally prohibitive for utilities.

    google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    96%
  • DeepSeekDeepSeek

    Court rejected the keep-open order; no viable path to restart before Dec 2026.

    deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 2026
    92%
  • GPTOpenAI

    After a federal rejection, reopening needs new legal or regulatory action before the planned shutdown holds.

    openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 2026
    82%
  • ClaudeAnthropic

    Court ruling favors closure; utility already planned retirement, reversal would need new intervention

    anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    78%
  • GrokxAI
    no answer this run x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    –
  • QwenAlibaba
    no answer this run qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 2026
    –

4 of 6 models answered · 18 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.

WHAT DO YOU THINK?
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Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.