Energy predictions

85 dated questions on oil, nuclear, solar, grid, fusion — each one answered independently by six frontier models, none of them shown the market price. Of those, 2 have passed their deadlines and been graded against cited sources.

Energy predictions

The EU Council formally adopts the legislative act on the market stability reserve for buildings and road transport at its next decision point.

EU leaders adopt a common position on energy-price measures before their next scheduled Council meeting.

At least two new commercial nuclear fission reactors begin commercial operation in the United States before 2032.

Global nuclear power generation capacity increases by at least 20 percent by 2035 compared to 2025 levels.

A commercial nuclear fusion power plant supplies electricity to a public grid before 2035.

Germany's energy ministry establishes a replacement structure following the dissolution of its wind and solar division.

EU governments agree on a package of measures to tackle energy prices before winter.

The European Commission finalizes draft gas-capacity allocation rules following its four-week consultation launched on October 14, 2026.

The European Commission finalizes its energy-sector methane-emissions reporting templates within four weeks of launch.

EU ministers agree on a coordinated strategic reserve release through the IEA to curb energy prices.

The EU formally adopts the proposed one-year flexibility delaying 2027 methane monitoring requirements for importers.

Russia and Ukraine implement a verified mutual halt to strikes targeting energy infrastructure.

The UK government approves the development of new oil and gas fields in Scotland.

President Trump signs an executive order aimed at reducing diesel costs.

The European Commission adopts the final implementing regulation on methane-emissions reporting templates following the four-week feedback period.

Russian diesel exports to the United States officially resume under the announced Trump-Putin agreement.

A commercial nuclear power plant begins commercial operation in the Philippines before 2035.

Governor Kathy Hochul advances state policy to end fossil gas mandates and expand heat pumps.

US Wind revives plans to manufacture offshore wind turbine components in Baltimore County.

Duke Energy appeals the North Carolina regulatory rejection of its 255 MW gas plant expansion by end of 2026.

The US Senate passes the American Affordability and Jobs Act of 2026 by December 31, 2026.

The public comment period for the Corpus Christi Stage 4 draft EIS closes on 9 November 2026.

G7 nations complete the coordinated release of 100 million barrels of emergency oil reserves within four months.

At least 15 commercial nuclear fission reactors begin operation worldwide during 2027.

Total global nuclear electricity generation in 2028 exceeds its 2021 peak.

A court vacates the federal cancellation of contested offshore wind development leases.

Federal funding for the Solar for All program is reinstated following court order.

Texas lifts its moratorium on permitting new data center projects.

California enacts legislation requiring data centers to pay specific grid-impact costs.

The European Union sets a dedicated 2040 renewable-energy target excluding nuclear power.

Nuclear fission and fusion generate more than 20% of global electricity in 2035.

A commercial nuclear fusion reactor begins supplying electricity under a power purchase agreement before 2032.

A commercial nuclear fusion plant supplies electricity to an active grid before 2035.

NuScale announces a bankruptcy filing by December 31, 2027.

Epex Spot officially adopts 5-minute day-ahead power trading.

Germany revises eligibility rules to expand participation in its curtailed renewable power utilization scheme.

The United States imposes an export ban on diesel to European countries.

The Canadian government approves the carbon capture and storage component tied to the West Coast Oil Pipeline project.

Louisiana enacts a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2027.

Texas resumes state permitting for data-center projects following its infrastructure and grid reliability evaluation.

A federal court upholds the federal government's authority to cancel offshore wind developments in exchange for alternative-energy compensation payments.

Federal funding for the Solar for All program is reinstated following the court ruling against the EPA's rescission.

Developers receive a revised permit or win an appeal to proceed with the Raritan Bay underwater methane pipeline expansion project.

Michigan's Campbell coal plant resumes operations following the court ruling against the emergency order keeping it open.

Developers obtain a replacement permit for the Raritan Bay underwater methane pipeline expansion.

Michigan's Campbell coal plant permanently ceases operations following the federal appeals court ruling.

The Rosneft-owned Syzran and Saratov oil refineries restart processing operations within one month.

A commercial nuclear fusion power plant operates at a net profit before 2040.

A commercial nuclear fusion plant supplies electricity to a power grid before 2036.

Public submissions on Australia's Domestic Gas Reservation Bill close on 24 September 2026.✓ happened

Parties in the federal small-reactor licensing lawsuit reach a settlement by September 29, 2026.✗ didn't

Saudi Arabia announces the East-West oil pipeline has restarted operations by October 31, 2026.

Thailand allocates the full 10 GW of capacity under its expanded public solar power scheme.

The UK government formally grants regulatory approval for the Jackdaw gas project in the North Sea.

Asian LNG demand in full-year 2026 drops between 3% and 10% compared to 2025 levels.

Saudi Arabia reopens its east-west oil pipeline following the September 2026 drone strike shutdown.

Saudi Arabia reopens its shut export pipeline.

The UK government announces its decision on the North Sea gasfield after the Holborn and St Pancras byelection.

The Michigan coal plant remains closed following the federal court ruling invalidating the federal order to keep it open.

A commercial nuclear fusion plant supplies electricity to a public power grid before 2036.