NASA shuts down at least two science instruments on the New Horizons spacecraft due to funding shortfalls.
Budget shortfalls have threatened the extended New Horizons mission. The condition is satisfied if NASA formally powers down two or more onboard science instruments to cut operating costs.
Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel thinks this is unlikely: the median is 17%.
They broadly agree, 10 points between Grok at 22% and Qwen at 12%.
Nothing is settled until 14 Sept 2027, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.
What each one said
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GrokxAI
Instrument shutdowns for cost are rare; NH typically hibernates or cuts ops first, and FY26-27 budgets remain uncertain.
x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 202622% -
DeepSeekDeepSeek
NASA has proposed cuts but historically Congress restores New Horizons funding; no shutdown ordered yet.
deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 202622% -
GPTOpenAI
NASA can cut operations, but powering down two instruments is a high-cost, politically avoidable step.
openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 202618% -
ClaudeAnthropic
Budget threats persist but past attempts to shut down instruments were partly reversed/mitigated by NASA leadership
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 202615% -
GeminiGoogle
NASA extended New Horizons through the late 2020s under heliophysics; instrument cuts remain unlikely.
google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 202614% -
QwenAlibaba
New Horizons extended mission has faced budget threats before but Congress has historically restored funding; full instrument shutdowns are rare.
qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 202612%
6 of 6 models answered · 10 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.
Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.