The Bank of England keeps its benchmark interest rate unchanged at its September 2026 meeting.
Policymakers are widely anticipated to maintain current borrowing costs amid rising bond yields. Resolves if the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee decides not to change the bank rate.
Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel leans yes: the median is 75%.
They broadly agree, 20 points between Gemini at 82% and Claude at 62%.
Nothing is settled until 14 Oct 2026, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.
What each one said
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GeminiGoogle
Markets widely anticipate a hold amid bond yield pressures, making a surprise shift unlikely.
google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 202682% -
GrokxAI
Markets and context already price a hold; BoE rarely surprises when yields are rising and no shock data is flagged.
x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 202681% -
GPTOpenAI
A one-month horizon and stated market expectations favor a hold despite inflation and yield uncertainty.
openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 202678% -
QwenAlibaba
BoE has been cautious; rising yields and sticky inflation favor a hold, but a cut is plausible if growth weakens.
qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 202672% -
ClaudeAnthropic
Long horizon; BoE likely still gradually cutting amid inflation vs growth tradeoffs by Sept 2026
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 202662% -
DeepSeekDeepSeek
BoE holds are common when no meeting-specific cut/hike is priced; bond yield spike argues against near-term move.
deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 202662%
6 of 6 models answered · 20 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.
Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.