The Bank of England raises interest rates before February 2027.
UK inflation expectations are mixed, pushing market pricing for the next BoE interest rate increase toward February 2027.
Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel leans no: the median is 37%.
They do not agree: GPT puts it at 57% and Gemini at 12%, 45 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.
Nothing is settled until 13 Mar 2027, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.
What each one said
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GPTOpenAI
Six-month window and market pricing near February make a hike slightly more likely than not.
openai/gpt-5.6-terra · asked 14 Sept 202657% -
ClaudeAnthropic
Market pricing already centers on Feb 2027, giving roughly even odds by resolution date
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 · asked 14 Sept 202642% -
DeepSeekDeepSeek
Market pricing centers the hike near Feb 2027; timing risk alone keeps it below 50.
deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash · asked 14 Sept 202642% -
GrokxAI
Markets already price first hike ~Feb 2027; only Nov/Dec meetings left before then.
x-ai/grok-4.6 · asked 14 Sept 202632% -
QwenAlibaba
Market pricing already points to Feb 2027 as earliest; BoE unlikely to hike before consensus timeline.
qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 · asked 14 Sept 202618% -
GeminiGoogle
BoE is in an easing cycle; a reversal to hikes within ~5 months requires severe, unexpected inflation.
google/gemini-3.8-flash · asked 14 Sept 202612%
6 of 6 models answered · 45 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.
Question sourced from a news sweep on 14 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.