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THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
2 questions in Consumer Tech. Sorted by newest.
Newest
Resolving soon
Models disagree
Furthest from the market
Most confident
Most likely
Longest shots
All outcomes
Still open
Settled
Happened ✓
Didn't ✗
Apply
1 week
1 month
3 months
6 months
1 year
3 years
5 years
10 years
50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141
▲ Markets & Economy 139
⬢ Geopolitics 109
▢ Policy & Law 97
◇ Gaming 94
⚡ Energy 85
▽ Security & Defense 76
◉ Climate & Environment 69
✦ Space 66
▣ Consumer Tech 48
◈ Crypto & Finance 47
❖ Biotech 38
✚ Health & Medicine 36
▶ Transportation 35
5Y
27 Oct 2031
A quantum computer solves an economically valuable problem faster than classical computers before 2030.
▣ Consumer Tech
spread 48
20
%
AI
5Y
5 Oct 2031
A fault-tolerant commercial quantum computing service is offered to enterprise customers before 2030.
▣ Consumer Tech
spread 30
20
%
AI