The EPA's public comment period on rescinding remaining greenhouse-gas requirements for power plants closes on November 2, 2026.
The EPA proposed rescinding greenhouse-gas requirements for power plants. The statement resolves based on whether public comments close by the stated November 2, 2026 deadline without extension.
Across 6 frontier models answering independently, the panel is barely on the yes side: the median is 57%.
They do not agree: DeepSeek puts it at 88% and Claude at 15%, 73 points apart. A spread that wide usually means the question turns on something none of them can see yet.
Nothing is settled until 21 Dec 2026, when the outcome is checked against sources and every number above gets a permanent score.
What each one said
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DeepSeekDeepSeek
Whether EPA extends the comment window past November 2, 2026.
- EPA published the repeal proposal in the Federal Register, so the comment clock is already running on a fixed statutory timeline.
- A 60-day comment window from an early-September publication lands squarely on November 2, 2026, matching the statement.
- Agencies rarely extend comment periods absent a flood of requests or a change in administration, and neither is signaled here.
88% -
QwenAlibaba
EPA comment periods rarely extend past their published deadline unless litigation or OMB review forces a delay.
- The EPA published this proposed rule with a Nov 2, 2026 comment deadline in the Federal Register; extensions happen in <10% of cases absent court order.
- No pending litigation or OMB intervention has been reported that would force EPA to extend; the agency under this administration has incentive to finalize quickly.
- A development that would shift this: a federal court issuing a stay or EPA voluntarily reopening comments due to significant new information.
88% -
GPTOpenAI
EPA can close comments on schedule, but high-profile Clean Air Act rules often draw extension requests and agency delays.
- EPA controls the docket and can keep a November 2 deadline; no congressional or judicial approval is needed to close comments.
- Comment periods commonly close as noticed, but major power-plant rules have frequently received extensions amid litigation or stakeholder pressure.
- A Federal Register notice extending the deadline, especially after utility-state or environmental group requests, would sharply reduce this forecast.
71% -
GeminiGoogle
High-profile EPA deregulatory rulemakings almost invariably face comment period extensions due to intense stakeholder pressure.
- Environmental groups and state attorneys general consistently demand 30-to-60-day extensions for complex Clean Air Act rules.
- Major Clean Power Plan and Section 111 replacement rule revisions have extended comment windows over 50% of the time historically.
- The EPA would need to formally deny all extension motions before November 2, which risks legal vulnerability under APA review.
42% -
GrokxAI
EPA granting (or not) any extension of the Nov 2 comment deadline.
- Stakeholders routinely request extra time on major GHG power-plant rules; EPA granted extensions on ~40% of comparable 2010s-2020s proposals.
- Administrator must decide by late October; high 2026 political and litigation stakes raise the chance of a 15-30 day add-on.
- A flood of comments or a court stay would most shift odds toward extension.
38% -
ClaudeAnthropic
Hinges on whether EPA already set/extended this specific comment deadline and whether it holds without further extension.
- Comment periods on major EPA rules are frequently extended, especially contentious GHG power plant rules with expected litigation and heavy public interest.
- The date given (Nov 2, 2026) seems unusually far out relative to typical 30-60 day comment windows, suggesting it may not match actual EPA scheduling and could already…
- No strong evidence EPA has committed to this exact date without possibility of extension, and high-profile rules often see deadline pushback from stakeholders.
15%
6 of 6 models answered · 73 points between the highest and lowest. None was shown the market price.
Question sourced from a news sweep on 22 Sept 2026. Forecast by google/gemini-3.8-flash, anthropic/claude-sonnet-5, openai/gpt-5.6-terra, x-ai/grok-4.6, deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash, qwen/qwen3.8-max-0902 via OpenRouter.