THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

10 questions in Artificial Intelligence. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 137▲ Markets & Economy 133⬢ Geopolitics 100▢ Policy & Law 88◇ Gaming 88⚡ Energy 83▽ Security & Defense 73◉ Climate & Environment 66✦ Space 64◈ Crypto & Finance 46▣ Consumer Tech 42✚ Health & Medicine 35❖ Biotech 32▶ Transportation 30
1W 10 Oct 2026

Italy publishes delegated decrees aligning national law with the EU AI Act by October 10, 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 50
28%
AI
1W 10 Oct 2026

The White House formally announces Jay Clayton as the new AI czar on October 3, 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 24
12%
AI
1W 1 Oct 2026

Donald Trump signs an executive action renaming artificial intelligence by September 30, 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 2 vs market -97
3%
AI vs 100%
1W 25 Sept 2026

The U.S. and China hold an official bilateral AI policy meeting before September 24, 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 81
72%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

China issues export-control restrictions on AI models before October 2026.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 43
33%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

The United States and China hold bilateral AI safety talks before the end of September 2026.✓ happened

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 17
83%
AI
1M 14 Oct 2026

Governor Gavin Newsom signs the Frontier AI Safety Act into law by 30 September 2026.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 35
38%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Brazilian Senate approves AI regulation Bill 2338/2023 on 16 September 2026.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 57
56%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Brazilian Senate approves Bill 2338/2023 in its plenary floor vote on September 16, 2026.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 65
32%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

Brazil's Senate passes AI Bill 2338/2023 at its September 16, 2026 vote.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 47
50%
AI