THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
6 questions in Geopolitics. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 137▲ Markets & Economy 133⬢ Geopolitics 100▢ Policy & Law 88◇ Gaming 88⚡ Energy 83▽ Security & Defense 73◉ Climate & Environment 66✦ Space 64◈ Crypto & Finance 46▣ Consumer Tech 42✚ Health & Medicine 35❖ Biotech 32▶ Transportation 30
1M
4 Oct 2026
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finishes in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election.✓ happened
26%
AI vs 100%
1M
30 Sept 2026
The US and Iran hold a formal senior-level diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026.✓ happened
22%
AI vs 100%
1M
14 Oct 2026
Donald Trump and Xi Jinping officially extend their bilateral trade truce at the September 24, 2026 summit.✓ happened
56%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner announce a concrete ceasefire framework between Russia and Ukraine.✗ didn't
12%
AI
1M
1 Oct 2026
Iran and Oman announce a diplomatic agreement on Strait of Hormuz maritime traffic by September 30, 2026.✗ didn't
6%
AI vs 0%
1M
30 Sept 2026
United Russia gains the most seats in the September 2026 Russian State Duma election.✓ happened
45%
AI vs 100%