THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
67 questions. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
5Y
28 Sept 2031
The 2030 FIFA World Cup opening match takes place before July 1, 2030.
95%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
Financial sector employment in major economies drops by at least 15% due to AI automation before 2030.
6%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
Total employment of software developers in the United States declines by at least 20% by 2030.
8%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
A major government statistical agency attributes net national employment decline directly to AI adoption before 2030.
7%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
Flying cars or passenger eVTOLs operate scheduled commercial service in at least three major global cities by 2030.
25%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
Commercial flying car or air taxi operations launch in India before 2030.
20%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
A commercially certified passenger eVTOL or flying car begins regular commercial passenger operations before 2030.
63%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
A major robotics manufacturer begins mass retail sales of general-purpose bipedal home robots before 2030.
16%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
The FDA approves a therapeutic drug with an explicit indication to slow or reverse human biological aging before 2031.
5%
AI
5Y
26 Sept 2031
The FDA approves at least 10 novel gene therapies in a single calendar year before 2030.
22%
AI
5Y
26 Sept 2031
An in vivo CRISPR gene-editing therapy receives broad regulatory approval for a common non-rare disease before 2030.
17%
AI
5Y
24 Sept 2031
Humans land on the Moon again before December 31, 2030.
38%
AI
5Y
23 Sept 2031
Artificial general intelligence is publicly demonstrated before 2030.
28%
AI
5Y
22 Sept 2031
Cultivated ground beef reaches price parity with conventional ground beef in US retail stores before 2030.
4%
AI
5Y
22 Sept 2031
Cultivated meat accounts for at least 1% of global retail meat sales volume by 2031.
3%
AI
5Y
19 Sept 2031
The 2030 FIFA World Cup final match takes place on or before July 21, 2030.
85%
AI
5Y
19 Sept 2031
The 2030 FIFA World Cup officially kicks off before June 15, 2030.
77%
AI
5Y
19 Sept 2031
The 2030 FIFA World Cup concludes by July 31, 2030.
94%
AI
5Y
19 Sept 2031
AI code generation reduces total software engineer employment in the US by 2030.
22%
AI
5Y
19 Sept 2031
AI leads to a net decline in US accounting and auditing employment by 2030.
29%
AI
5Y
19 Sept 2031
The US FDA approves a gene therapy targeting sensorineural hearing loss before 2030.
53%
AI
5Y
19 Sept 2031
AI causes net global job losses across major economies by 2030.
22%
AI
5Y
18 Sept 2031
A commercially certified flying car or passenger eVTOL begins public sales before 2030.
23%
AI
5Y
18 Sept 2031
A major tech manufacturer ships a commercial general-purpose bipedal home assistant robot before 2030.
20%
AI
5Y
16 Sept 2031
Humans land on the Moon again before 2030.
49%
AI
5Y
15 Sept 2031
A direct military conflict between two or more nuclear-armed superpowers begins before 2030.
8%
AI
5Y
14 Sept 2031
Artificial intelligence surpasses human performance on all standard professional and cognitive benchmarks before 2030.
25%
AI