THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

121 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

6M 19 Apr 2027

David Lisnard wins the next French presidential election.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 2 vs market -13

AI vs 15%

6M 25 Apr 2027

The upcoming Academy Awards ceremony features live performances of all nominees for Best Original Song.

♪ Culture & Media spread 52

69%

6M 25 Apr 2027

ABC broadcasts an official television replay of the Academy Awards ceremony within 24 hours of its initial live airing.

♪ Culture & Media spread 8

6M 25 Apr 2027

The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its AI risks and opportunities report within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 creation.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 56

50%

6M 24 Apr 2027

U.S. federal civilian agencies complete the removal of DeepSeek products from IT systems pursuant to the DHS order.

▽ Security & Defense spread 51

73%

6M 17 Apr 2027

China's CAC adopts final rules restricting AI virtual companions and addictive AI services for minors.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 27

67%

6M 16 Apr 2027

The United States officially halts or reduces intelligence sharing with Ukraine.

▽ Security & Defense spread 31

34%

6M 16 Apr 2027

Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive announces a PC release window for Grand Theft Auto VI of Q1 2027 or earlier.

◇ Gaming spread 35

35%

6M 15 Apr 2027

Germany's energy ministry establishes a replacement structure following the dissolution of its wind and solar division.

⚡ Energy spread 11

85%

6M 15 Apr 2027

Mount Sinai's CRS-35 tissue model experiment yields publishable data on microgravity-induced aging or functional changes.

❖ Biotech spread 36

60%

6M 15 Apr 2027

The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its report on AI risks within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 announcement.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 59

53%

6M 12 Apr 2027

Ofcom issues an enforcement action or formal infringement finding against X regarding the Grok chatbot.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 46

38%

6M 12 Apr 2027

The US-China trade truce remains in effect through January 31, 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 38

66%

6M 10 Apr 2027

The White House formally appoints Jay Clayton as head of federal AI policy and leader of a new AI task force.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 59

73%

6M 10 Apr 2027

The New York City Council enacts its proposed AI safety legislative package following committee hearings.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 20

33%

6M 10 Apr 2027

All nominees for Best Original Song are performed live during the 99th Academy Awards telecast in 2027.

♪ Culture & Media spread 36

54%

6M 10 Apr 2027

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announces the 99th Oscar nominations in January 2027.

♪ Culture & Media spread 10

96%

6M 9 Apr 2027

Forza Horizon 6 releases on PlayStation 5 by January 31, 2027.

◇ Gaming spread 33

58%

6M 8 Apr 2027

China's finalized State Council regulation bars minors from using virtual companions.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 61

25%

6M 8 Apr 2027

China's Cyberspace Administration finalizes mandatory security steps in its Agent System Development Security Guide.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 56

52%

6M 5 Apr 2027

The existing ceasefire in the Gaza conflict collapses.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 36

63%

6M 5 Apr 2027

Commercial shipping fully resumes through the Strait of Hormuz after Tehran's conditions are met.

▽ Security & Defense spread 52

26%

6M 4 Apr 2027

Deep-space technology demonstrations aboard the ISS validate successfully during NASA's Crew-13 mission.

✦ Space spread 15

65%

6M 4 Apr 2027

Crew-13 crop production experiments yield usable research data before the conclusion of their six-month ISS mission.

✦ Space spread 10

90%

6M 4 Apr 2027

NASA reports initial results from Crew-13 stem-cell, blood-flow, or diagnostic research before the crew returns from the ISS.

✚ Health & Medicine spread 38

67%

6M 4 Apr 2027

Colorado adopts final rules on Automated Decision-Making Technology and Chatbot Safety following its October 26, 2026 comment deadline.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 16

72%

6M 4 Apr 2027

Google resumes its Open Source Software Vulnerability Rewards Program with updated rules filtering AI-generated reports.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 10

82%

6M 3 Apr 2027

G7 nations complete the coordinated release of 100 million barrels of emergency oil reserves within four months.

⚡ Energy spread 58

62%

6M 3 Apr 2027

Nominations for the 99th Academy Awards are officially announced by January 31, 2027.

♪ Culture & Media spread 9

96%

6M 3 Apr 2027

The 99th Academy Awards ceremony airs in March 2027.

♪ Culture & Media spread 15

92%

6M 1 Apr 2027

The European Central Bank takes public supervisory enforcement action against banks missing the October 31, 2026 AI cyber-threat plan deadline.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 50

12%

6M 1 Apr 2027

Colorado adopts final rules on ADMT and chatbot safety following the October 26, 2026 comment deadline.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 49

65%

6M 31 Mar 2027

Hamas or other Gaza-based armed groups take formal steps to disarm under the existing ceasefire framework.

▽ Security & Defense spread 14

15%

6M 1 Jan 2027

Bitcoin reaches $90,000 by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 76 vs market +28

70%

AI vs 42%

6M 31 Mar 2027

A legal challenge is filed against the approval of New South Wales's largest coal project.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 26

82%

6M 31 Mar 2027

The United States imposes an export ban on diesel to European countries.

⚡ Energy spread 8

6M 2 Jan 2027

Anthropic achieves the highest first-day closing market capitalization among 2026 IPOs.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 31 vs market -26

12%

AI vs 38%

Every forecast,in order.

David Lisnard wins the next French presidential election.

The upcoming Academy Awards ceremony features live performances of all nominees for Best Original Song.

ABC broadcasts an official television replay of the Academy Awards ceremony within 24 hours of its initial live airing.

The upcoming Academy Awards telecast features a live ballet performance.

The Academy Awards ceremony takes place in March 2027.

OpenAI releases GPT-6.1 Astra following its delayed October 2026 deployment.

The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its AI risks and opportunities report within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 creation.

U.S. federal civilian agencies complete the removal of DeepSeek products from IT systems pursuant to the DHS order.

China's CAC adopts final rules restricting AI virtual companions and addictive AI services for minors.

The United States officially halts or reduces intelligence sharing with Ukraine.

Rockstar Games or Take-Two Interactive announces a PC release window for Grand Theft Auto VI of Q1 2027 or earlier.

Germany's energy ministry establishes a replacement structure following the dissolution of its wind and solar division.

Mount Sinai's CRS-35 tissue model experiment yields publishable data on microgravity-induced aging or functional changes.

The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its report on AI risks within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 announcement.

Ofcom issues an enforcement action or formal infringement finding against X regarding the Grok chatbot.

The US-China trade truce remains in effect through January 31, 2027.

The White House formally appoints Jay Clayton as head of federal AI policy and leader of a new AI task force.

The New York City Council enacts its proposed AI safety legislative package following committee hearings.

All nominees for Best Original Song are performed live during the 99th Academy Awards telecast in 2027.

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announces the 99th Oscar nominations in January 2027.

Forza Horizon 6 releases on PlayStation 5 by January 31, 2027.

China's finalized State Council regulation bars minors from using virtual companions.

China's Cyberspace Administration finalizes mandatory security steps in its Agent System Development Security Guide.

The existing ceasefire in the Gaza conflict collapses.

Commercial shipping fully resumes through the Strait of Hormuz after Tehran's conditions are met.

Deep-space technology demonstrations aboard the ISS validate successfully during NASA's Crew-13 mission.

Crew-13 crop production experiments yield usable research data before the conclusion of their six-month ISS mission.

NASA reports initial results from Crew-13 stem-cell, blood-flow, or diagnostic research before the crew returns from the ISS.

Colorado adopts final rules on Automated Decision-Making Technology and Chatbot Safety following its October 26, 2026 comment deadline.

Google resumes its Open Source Software Vulnerability Rewards Program with updated rules filtering AI-generated reports.

G7 nations complete the coordinated release of 100 million barrels of emergency oil reserves within four months.

Nominations for the 99th Academy Awards are officially announced by January 31, 2027.

The 99th Academy Awards ceremony airs in March 2027.

The European Central Bank takes public supervisory enforcement action against banks missing the October 31, 2026 AI cyber-threat plan deadline.

Colorado adopts final rules on ADMT and chatbot safety following the October 26, 2026 comment deadline.

Hamas or other Gaza-based armed groups take formal steps to disarm under the existing ceasefire framework.

Bitcoin reaches $90,000 by December 31, 2026.

A legal challenge is filed against the approval of New South Wales's largest coal project.

The United States imposes an export ban on diesel to European countries.

Anthropic achieves the highest first-day closing market capitalization among 2026 IPOs.

Every forecast,
in order.