THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

212 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week 1 month 3 months 6 months 1 year 3 years 5 years 10 years 50 years

◆ Artificial Intelligence 141 ▲ Markets & Economy 139 ⬢ Geopolitics 109 ▢ Policy & Law 97 ◇ Gaming 94 ⚡ Energy 85 ▽ Security & Defense 76 ◉ Climate & Environment 69 ✦ Space 66 ▣ Consumer Tech 48 ◈ Crypto & Finance 47 ❖ Biotech 38 ✚ Health & Medicine 36 ▶ Transportation 35

1M 28 Nov 2026

Meta's revised commercial terms take effect on 20 November 2026.

▣ Consumer Tech spread 33

80%

1M 28 Nov 2026

The UK Information Commissioner's Office closes its call for evidence on agentic AI data protection on 20 November 2026.

○ Privacy spread 15

90%

1M 28 Nov 2026

The European Commission closes its public consultation on draft implementing rules for EU AI Act enforcement on 9 November 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 9

90%

1M 27 Nov 2026

A trilateral summit between Trump, Xi, and Putin is held in November 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 24

12%

1M 27 Nov 2026

A localized humanitarian ceasefire takes effect in the Oleshky area of Kherson as announced.

▽ Security & Defense spread 66

40%

1M 27 Nov 2026

Officials from Russia and Ukraine hold an official meeting in November 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 41

36%

1M 26 Nov 2026

South Korea's culture ministry announces new funding or formal esports policy changes at G-STAR 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 36

62%

1M 26 Nov 2026

Microsoft releases the Xbox Nano controller for retail purchase in November 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 9

87%

1M 4 Nov 2026

The Republican nominee wins the Maine U.S. Senate election in 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 67 vs market -14

25%

AI vs 39%

1M 4 Nov 2026

The Republican nominee wins the Texas gubernatorial election in 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 11 vs market +21

90%

AI vs 69%

1M 26 Nov 2026

The EU Council formally adopts the legislative act on the market stability reserve for buildings and road transport at its next decision point.

⚡ Energy spread 84

81%

1M 4 Nov 2026

A proposition establishing a one-time wealth tax on billionaires passes in California's 2026 general election.

▢ Policy & Law spread 5 vs market -18

AI vs 22%

1M 24 Nov 2026

Iran launches a direct military strike against Israel following border airspace maneuvers.

▽ Security & Defense spread 23

15%

1M 24 Nov 2026

Direct talks in Switzerland between the US and Iran produce an announced ceasefire or agreement.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 48

20%

1M 24 Nov 2026

Israel launches a major military operation in the West Bank following the October 23 checkpoint attack.

▽ Security & Defense spread 56

55%

1M 24 Nov 2026

US-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine resume in November 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 45

32%

1M 18 Nov 2026

Significant eurozone banks submit their AI cybersecurity action plans to the ECB by October 31, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 7

89%

1M 4 Nov 2026

Crude oil closes below $85 on November 2, 2026 and the Republican Party wins control of the US Senate.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 33 vs market +41

43%

AI vs 2%

1M 18 Nov 2026

The US Employment Cost Index rises in the report released on October 30, 2026.

⌂ Work & Labor spread 5

97%

1M 18 Nov 2026

The US PCE deflator shows an acceleration in inflation in the October 29, 2026 release.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 26

60%

1M 18 Nov 2026

The Bank of England raises its policy interest rate at its October 29, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 5

1M 18 Nov 2026

The Bank of Canada changes its policy interest rate at its October 28, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 56

38%

1M 18 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank increases key interest rates at its October 29, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 32

15%

1M 18 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its October 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 23

13%

1M 17 Nov 2026

Saudi Arabia or allied forces launch confirmed retaliatory strikes following the October 2026 Houthi attacks on Riyadh.

▽ Security & Defense spread 49

52%

1M 17 Nov 2026

The United States imposes duties on imports from the top five buyers of Russian oil and gas following the October 18, 2026 executive order trigger.

▢ Policy & Law spread 20

30%

1M 17 Nov 2026

The Cat in the Hat: Rainy Day Mayhem releases on October 30, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 24

89%

1M 17 Nov 2026

NBA 2K25 is delisted from the Xbox digital store on October 30, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 9

95%

1M 1 Nov 2026

The Trump administration announces a new permanent White House Press Secretary by October 31, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 57 vs market +35

38%

AI vs 3%

1M 4 Nov 2026

Oil closes at or above $85 on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 midterm election.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 21 vs market -57

AI vs 64%

1M 16 Nov 2026

Governments and scientists agree on a delivery schedule for the IPCC AR7 reports before COP31.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 74

33%

1M 16 Nov 2026

Participating nations submit revised biodiversity plans at COP17 to meet 2030 targets.

≋ Nature & Oceans spread 80

51%

1M 16 Nov 2026

SpaceX CRS-35 payloads begin their planned multiweek ISS research runs following an October 2026 launch.

✦ Space spread 27

71%

1M 4 Nov 2026

Crude oil closes below $85 on November 2, 2026 and the Democratic Party wins control of the US Senate.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 24 vs market +23

26%

AI vs 3%

1M 16 Nov 2026

The public comment period for Colorado's draft rules on automated decision systems closes by 26 October 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 19

93%

1M 15 Nov 2026

U.S. initial jobless claims fall in the next weekly report prior to the October 27-28 Fed meeting.

⌂ Work & Labor spread 6

52%

1M 15 Nov 2026

The Bank of England raises Bank Rate at its October 29, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 23

1M 15 Nov 2026

The European Central Bank changes its deposit facility rate on October 29, 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 30

33%

1M 15 Nov 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at its October 27-28, 2026 meeting.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 27

11%

1M 26 Oct 2026

Flávio Bolsonaro wins the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12 percentage points.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 11 vs market +4

AI vs 0%

Every forecast,in order.

Meta's revised commercial terms take effect on 20 November 2026.

The UK Information Commissioner's Office closes its call for evidence on agentic AI data protection on 20 November 2026.

The European Commission closes its public consultation on draft implementing rules for EU AI Act enforcement on 9 November 2026.

A trilateral summit between Trump, Xi, and Putin is held in November 2026.

A localized humanitarian ceasefire takes effect in the Oleshky area of Kherson as announced.

Officials from Russia and Ukraine hold an official meeting in November 2026.

South Korea's culture ministry announces new funding or formal esports policy changes at G-STAR 2026.

Microsoft releases the Xbox Nano controller for retail purchase in November 2026.

The Republican nominee wins the Maine U.S. Senate election in 2026.

The Republican nominee wins the Texas gubernatorial election in 2026.

The EU Council formally adopts the legislative act on the market stability reserve for buildings and road transport at its next decision point.

A proposition establishing a one-time wealth tax on billionaires passes in California's 2026 general election.

Iran launches a direct military strike against Israel following border airspace maneuvers.

Direct talks in Switzerland between the US and Iran produce an announced ceasefire or agreement.

Israel launches a major military operation in the West Bank following the October 23 checkpoint attack.

US-mediated peace talks between Russia and Ukraine resume in November 2026.

Significant eurozone banks submit their AI cybersecurity action plans to the ECB by October 31, 2026.

Crude oil closes below $85 on November 2, 2026 and the Republican Party wins control of the US Senate.

The US Employment Cost Index rises in the report released on October 30, 2026.

The US PCE deflator shows an acceleration in inflation in the October 29, 2026 release.

The Bank of England raises its policy interest rate at its October 29, 2026 meeting.

The Bank of Canada changes its policy interest rate at its October 28, 2026 meeting.

The European Central Bank increases key interest rates at its October 29, 2026 meeting.

The Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its October 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting.

Saudi Arabia or allied forces launch confirmed retaliatory strikes following the October 2026 Houthi attacks on Riyadh.

The United States imposes duties on imports from the top five buyers of Russian oil and gas following the October 18, 2026 executive order trigger.

The Cat in the Hat: Rainy Day Mayhem releases on October 30, 2026.

NBA 2K25 is delisted from the Xbox digital store on October 30, 2026.

The Trump administration announces a new permanent White House Press Secretary by October 31, 2026.

Oil closes at or above $85 on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 midterm election.

Governments and scientists agree on a delivery schedule for the IPCC AR7 reports before COP31.

Participating nations submit revised biodiversity plans at COP17 to meet 2030 targets.

SpaceX CRS-35 payloads begin their planned multiweek ISS research runs following an October 2026 launch.

Crude oil closes below $85 on November 2, 2026 and the Democratic Party wins control of the US Senate.

The public comment period for Colorado's draft rules on automated decision systems closes by 26 October 2026.

U.S. initial jobless claims fall in the next weekly report prior to the October 27-28 Fed meeting.

The Bank of England raises Bank Rate at its October 29, 2026 meeting.

The European Central Bank changes its deposit facility rate on October 29, 2026.

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at its October 27-28, 2026 meeting.

Flávio Bolsonaro wins the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12 percentage points.

Every forecast,
in order.