THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

221 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
3M 29 Nov 2026

Invictus Gaming wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship.

◇ Gaming spread 3 vs market -6
3%
AI vs 9%
3M 27 Jan 2027

The Article 50(2) transparency compliance deadline for pre-existing AI systems takes effect on 2 December 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 91
91%
AI
3M 1 Dec 2026

The US publicly announces the end of its naval blockade of Iran by November 30, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 14 vs market -16
11%
AI vs 27%
3M 29 Nov 2026

Puma Shen is elected Mayor of Taipei in the November 2026 municipal election.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 6 vs market -29
5%
AI vs 34%
3M 26 Jan 2027

The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate on December 9, 2026.

▲ Markets & Economy spread 30
18%
AI
3M 29 Nov 2026

Chiang Wan-an wins the 2026 Taipei mayoral election.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 31 vs market +6
74%
AI vs 68%
3M 1 Jan 2027

Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 18 vs market -3
18%
AI vs 21%
3M 26 Jan 2027

The 60-day pause on sweeping U.S. sanctions against Russia expires without being extended.

▢ Policy & Law spread 35
38%
AI
3M 26 Jan 2027

A new Israeli government is sworn in with a governing coalition majority following the election.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 44
57%
AI
3M 31 Dec 2026

A total internet blackout occurs in Iran by December 31, 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 26 vs market -21
7%
AI vs 28%
3M 29 Nov 2026

Gen.G wins the 2026 League of Legends World Championship.

◇ Gaming spread 10 vs market -25
19%
AI vs 44%
3M 25 Jan 2027

Capcom reports additional compromised accounts beyond the initial 11.7 million Capcom IDs.

▽ Security & Defense spread 29
20%
AI
3M 25 Jan 2027

EA officially announces Star Wars Battlefront 3 by the end of 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 56
33%
AI
3M 1 Jan 2027

No listed national leader ceases to permanently occupy their office before 2027.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 89 vs market +11
56%
AI vs 45%
3M 25 Jan 2027

EU environment ministers reach agreement by December 2026 on the pending market-related climate file.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 20
58%
AI
3M 25 Jan 2027

EU leaders adopt a common position on energy-price measures before their next scheduled Council meeting.

⚡ Energy spread 52
31%
AI
3M 1 Jan 2027

France enters a declared state of emergency by December 31, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 5 vs market -2
6%
AI vs 8%
3M 23 Jan 2027

Houthi forces reopen humanitarian access routes into Taiz, Yemen.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 24
18%
AI
3M 23 Jan 2027

IAEA nuclear inspectors are permitted to return to Iran.

▽ Security & Defense spread 51
38%
AI
3M 1 Jan 2027

Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 2 vs market -1
3%
AI vs 4%
3M 1 Dec 2026

A new White House Press Secretary is announced by November 30, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 22 vs market -17
18%
AI vs 35%
3M 17 Jan 2027

The European Commission closes its public consultation on the proposed EU Kids Act by November 26, 2026.

○ Privacy spread 15
89%
AI
3M 17 Jan 2027

Colorado adopts final AI rules under SB 26-189 and HB 26-1263 before January 1, 2027.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 26
79%
AI
3M 1 Dec 2026

Anthropic completes an IPO by November 30, 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 13 vs market -83
5%
AI vs 88%
3M 16 Jan 2027

Commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is formally restricted or halted by Iranian forces.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 14
12%
AI
3M 16 Jan 2027

Ukraine and Russia formally confirm an energy ceasefire agreement based on the U.S. proposal.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 28
19%
AI
3M 15 Jan 2027

Leaders at COP31 in Türkiye reach an agreement on new climate-action measures.

◉ Climate & Environment spread 15
85%
AI
3M 15 Jan 2027

EU governments agree on a package of measures to tackle energy prices before winter.

⚡ Energy spread 40
65%
AI
3M 15 Jan 2027

The compact microplate reader tested aboard the ISS successfully detects target biomarkers in orbit during CRS-35 operations.

✦ Space spread 46
75%
AI
3M 15 Jan 2027

Additional EU AI Act obligations take effect on 2 December 2026.

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 93
55%
AI
3M 14 Jan 2027

The European Union adopts additional sanctions listings against Russia before December 31, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 34
89%
AI
3M 14 Jan 2027

Commercial shipping incidents occur in the Strait of Hormuz before January 2027.

▽ Security & Defense spread 50
76%
AI
3M 14 Jan 2027

Houthi forces conduct further missile or drone strikes targeting Saudi Arabian territory before December 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 21
83%
AI
3M 14 Jan 2027

The UN announces a formal ceasefire agreement in Yemen by the end of 2026.

▽ Security & Defense spread 14
10%
AI
3M 14 Jan 2027

The United States and China maintain their bilateral trade truce through January 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 20
73%
AI
3M 14 Jan 2027

Russia and Ukraine reach an agreement to limit strikes on grain and energy infrastructure before winter 2026.

⬢ Geopolitics spread 23
20%
AI
3M 1 Jan 2027

Bitcoin drops to $50,000 or lower by December 31, 2026.

◈ Crypto & Finance spread 22 vs market +15
22%
AI vs 7%
3M 14 Jan 2027

The eligibility cutoff for The Game Awards 2026 remains set at November 20, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 9
92%
AI
3M 14 Jan 2027

Grand Theft Auto 6 is commercially released on or before November 19, 2026.

◇ Gaming spread 17
82%
AI
3M 14 Jan 2027

Riot Games shuts down the classic mode in League of Legends in January 2027.

◇ Gaming spread 52
82%
AI