THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
3 questions in Security & Defense. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1W
5 Oct 2026
Pro-Iranian Shi'ite militias in Iraq disarm by the end of September 2026.✗ didn't
8%
AI
1W
3 Oct 2026
Pro-Iranian Shi'ite militias in Iraq disarm by 30 September 2026.✗ didn't
4%
AI
1W
22 Sept 2026
Russia and Ukraine observe a reciprocal three-day halt on strikes targeting Kyiv and Moscow.✓ happened
25%
AI