THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
11 questions in Policy & Law. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Republican nominee wins the Michigan U.S. Senate election in 2026.
36%
AI vs 28%
1W
4 Nov 2026
Xavier Becerra wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election.
10%
AI vs 97%
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Democratic Party wins the South Carolina U.S. Senate race in 2026.
4%
AI vs 28%
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Democratic Party wins the NC-09 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections.
13%
AI vs 32%
1W
4 Nov 2026
A Republican candidate wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina.
97%
AI vs 73%
1W
16 Oct 2026
The U.S. administration imposes tariffs or sanctions under the Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act by October 18, 2026.
28%
AI
1W
16 Oct 2026
Coinbase Financial Markets closes all Michigan customer positions in sports-related event contracts by October 10, 2026.
89%
AI
1W
2 Oct 2026
Draft environmental resolutions are formally tabled or adopted before the close of the UN General Assembly high-level session on September 28, 2026.
90%
AI
1W
24 Sept 2026
The United States and China agree to extend their October 2025 trade truce at their September 24, 2026 summit.✗ didn't
62%
AI
1W
22 Sept 2026
The United States and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24, 2026 summit.✗ didn't
32%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Nevada Gaming Commission approves proposed regulation amendments at its September 17, 2026 hearing.✓ happened
75%
AI