THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

130 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 137▲ Markets & Economy 133⬢ Geopolitics 100▢ Policy & Law 88◇ Gaming 88⚡ Energy 83▽ Security & Defense 73◉ Climate & Environment 66✦ Space 64◈ Crypto & Finance 46▣ Consumer Tech 42✚ Health & Medicine 35❖ Biotech 32▶ Transportation 30
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 57
58%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

U.S. headline annual CPI inflation is reported at 3.4% or higher in the September 2026 release.✗ didn't

▲ Markets & Economy spread 16
21%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The DRC government and the M23-led AFC alliance agree to an operational ceasefire at the Geneva talks on September 16–17, 2026.✗ didn't

⬢ Geopolitics spread 13
22%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

ENDLESS Legend 2 leaves early access with version 1.0 on PC, PS5, and Xbox Series on 17 September 2026.✓ happened

◇ Gaming spread 67
55%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

Sandbox VR opens its Melbourne venue on 14 September 2026.✓ happened

▣ Consumer Tech spread 43
75%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Horizon Europe space call closes to proposals at 17:00 CEST on September 16, 2026.✓ happened

✦ Space spread 12
96%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

NASA closes submissions for LISA science-gaps input by September 16, 2026.✓ happened

✦ Space spread 13
95%
AI
1M 1 Oct 2026

Iran and Oman announce a diplomatic agreement on Strait of Hormuz maritime traffic by September 30, 2026.✗ didn't

⬢ Geopolitics spread 10 vs market +6
6%
AI vs 0%
1M 1 Oct 2026

Active-month WTI crude oil futures trade at or above $105 per barrel during September 2026.✓ happened

⚡ Energy spread 35 vs market -96
4%
AI vs 100%
1M 30 Sept 2026

United Russia gains the most seats in the September 2026 Russian State Duma election.✓ happened

⬢ Geopolitics spread 57 vs market -55
45%
AI vs 100%