THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
7 questions in Artificial Intelligence. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
10Y
14 Oct 2036
An artificial intelligence system takes autonomous operational control of critical civilian infrastructure or governance before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
6 Oct 2036
A scientific consensus concludes that an artificial intelligence system has achieved self-awareness before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
6 Oct 2036
An artificial intelligence system autonomously controls key global economic or military infrastructure before 2035.
7%
AI
10Y
21 Sept 2036
Artificial superintelligence is developed and confirmed before 2035.
12%
AI
10Y
15 Sept 2036
An AI-designed therapy leads to a clinical cure for a major cancer before 2032.
25%
AI
10Y
14 Sept 2036
Artificial superintelligence (ASI) is developed before 2035.
18%
AI
10Y
12 Sept 2036
A technological singularity driven by self-improving artificial intelligence occurs before 2035.
6%
AI