THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
141 questions in Artificial Intelligence. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
3Y
28 Oct 2029
The EU AI Act compliance deadline for Annex III high-risk AI systems takes effect on 2 December 2027.
88%
AI
1Y
29 Oct 2027
The Monetary Authority of Singapore's AI Risk Management Guidelines take effect on 7 October 2027.
88%
AI
3M
27 Jan 2027
The Article 50(2) transparency compliance deadline for pre-existing AI systems takes effect on 2 December 2026.
91%
AI
1M
28 Nov 2026
The European Commission closes its public consultation on draft implementing rules for EU AI Act enforcement on 9 November 2026.
90%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
OpenAI trains a frontier AI model using live internet data after its October 2026 policy change.
16%
AI
6M
24 Apr 2027
OpenAI releases GPT-6.1 Astra following its delayed October 2026 deployment.
60%
AI
6M
24 Apr 2027
The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its AI risks and opportunities report within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 creation.
50%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
Singapore financial institutions face mandatory compliance with monetary authority AI risk guidelines beginning 7 October 2027.
81%
AI
1W
2 Nov 2026
Poland's AI Act provisions scheduled for 28 October 2026 commence on that date.
86%
AI
3M
17 Jan 2027
Colorado adopts final AI rules under SB 26-189 and HB 26-1263 before January 1, 2027.
79%
AI
6M
17 Apr 2027
China's CAC adopts final rules restricting AI virtual companions and addictive AI services for minors.
67%
AI
1M
18 Nov 2026
Significant eurozone banks submit their AI cybersecurity action plans to the ECB by October 31, 2026.
89%
AI
1Y
19 Oct 2027
The FTC brings formal enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic following its civil subpoenas.
26%
AI
1Y
19 Oct 2027
China officially adopts final export controls on AI technologies and chips.
72%
AI
3M
1 Dec 2026
Anthropic completes an IPO by November 30, 2026.
5%
AI vs 88%
3Y
16 Oct 2029
A consensus-recognized Artificial General Intelligence system is created before 2028.
13%
AI
5Y
16 Oct 2031
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is publicly demonstrated and broadly recognized by leading AI labs before 2030.
20%
AI
5Y
16 Oct 2031
AI tools automate more than 50% of routine IT support and software maintenance jobs before 2030.
16%
AI
10Y
14 Oct 2036
An artificial intelligence system takes autonomous operational control of critical civilian infrastructure or governance before 2035.
10%
AI
3Y
16 Oct 2029
The US Congress passes the National AI Charter Act into law by the end of 2027.
4%
AI
6M
15 Apr 2027
The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its report on AI risks within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 announcement.
53%
AI
3Y
16 Oct 2029
California establishes the AI registry and standards required under AB 1405 by 1 December 2027.
58%
AI
1Y
17 Oct 2027
California publishes required oversight criteria under SB 813 by 1 May 2027.
72%
AI
1M
16 Nov 2026
The public comment period for Colorado's draft rules on automated decision systems closes by 26 October 2026.
93%
AI
3M
15 Jan 2027
Additional EU AI Act obligations take effect on 2 December 2026.
55%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
Japan enacts legislation protecting individual voice and likeness against unauthorized AI generation.
40%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
Singapore makes its AI autonomous agent testing guidance mandatory for commercial developers.
18%
AI
6M
12 Apr 2027
Ofcom issues an enforcement action or formal infringement finding against X regarding the Grok chatbot.
38%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The EU formally abandons or replaces its shelved AI Liability Directive.
66%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
Australia announces permanent parliamentary oversight or new statutory safeguards for AI.
48%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The UK enacts dedicated legislation granting statutory powers to the AI Security Institute.
23%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
A federal court strikes down provisions of California's newly enacted AI legislation.
41%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
The Australian Parliament passes legislation regulating major AI companies following parliamentary committee inquiries.
47%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
The FTC issues a formal complaint or enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic stemming from its safety and antitrust inquiries.
23%
AI
6M
10 Apr 2027
The White House formally appoints Jay Clayton as head of federal AI policy and leader of a new AI task force.
73%
AI
6M
10 Apr 2027
The New York City Council enacts its proposed AI safety legislative package following committee hearings.
33%
AI
6M
8 Apr 2027
China's finalized State Council regulation bars minors from using virtual companions.
25%
AI
6M
8 Apr 2027
China's Cyberspace Administration finalizes mandatory security steps in its Agent System Development Security Guide.
52%
AI
3M
8 Jan 2027
Anthropic's policy prohibiting abusive behavior directed at Claude takes effect on November 12, 2026.
88%
AI
5Y
9 Oct 2031
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is publicly demonstrated before 2030.
15%
AI