THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
36 questions in Artificial Intelligence. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1Y
29 Oct 2027
The Monetary Authority of Singapore's AI Risk Management Guidelines take effect on 7 October 2027.
88%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
OpenAI trains a frontier AI model using live internet data after its October 2026 policy change.
16%
AI
1Y
26 Oct 2027
Singapore financial institutions face mandatory compliance with monetary authority AI risk guidelines beginning 7 October 2027.
81%
AI
1Y
19 Oct 2027
The FTC brings formal enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic following its civil subpoenas.
26%
AI
1Y
19 Oct 2027
China officially adopts final export controls on AI technologies and chips.
72%
AI
1Y
17 Oct 2027
California publishes required oversight criteria under SB 813 by 1 May 2027.
72%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
Japan enacts legislation protecting individual voice and likeness against unauthorized AI generation.
40%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
Singapore makes its AI autonomous agent testing guidance mandatory for commercial developers.
18%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The EU formally abandons or replaces its shelved AI Liability Directive.
66%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
Australia announces permanent parliamentary oversight or new statutory safeguards for AI.
48%
AI
1Y
14 Oct 2027
The UK enacts dedicated legislation granting statutory powers to the AI Security Institute.
23%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
A federal court strikes down provisions of California's newly enacted AI legislation.
41%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
The Australian Parliament passes legislation regulating major AI companies following parliamentary committee inquiries.
47%
AI
1Y
12 Oct 2027
The FTC issues a formal complaint or enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic stemming from its safety and antitrust inquiries.
23%
AI
1Y
8 Oct 2027
California's SB 947 (No Robo Bosses Act) is enjoined or invalidated by a court prior to July 1, 2027.
27%
AI
1Y
8 Oct 2027
The U.S. Senate passes or advances the AI Agent Accountability Act out of committee.
17%
AI
1Y
6 Oct 2027
The FTC initiates an enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic arising from its September 2026 safety scrutiny.
22%
AI
1Y
3 Oct 2027
The FTC announces a formal enforcement action against OpenAI or Anthropic arising from its October 2026 safety probe.
25%
AI
1Y
29 Sept 2027
The UK government introduces legislation establishing a dedicated AI oversight body.
25%
AI
1Y
29 Sept 2027
Oregon publishes standards for third-party AI safety reviews or a kill-switch mandate for frontier models.
58%
AI
1Y
29 Sept 2027
A legal challenge is filed against California's SB 1050 or AB 2 before their implementation dates.
75%
AI
1Y
24 Sept 2027
The US House passes the AI, supply chain security, and sustainability mandates bill.
35%
AI
1Y
24 Sept 2027
The UK government introduces legislation to establish a dedicated AI oversight body.
22%
AI
1Y
19 Sept 2027
California formally proposes regulations regarding an AI kill switch pursuant to Governor Newsom's executive order before mid-2027.
28%
AI
1Y
1 Jul 2027
Anthropic completes an initial public offering by October 31, 2026.
4%
AI vs 0%
1Y
16 Sept 2027
A court issues a final merits judgment in the constitutional challenge to California's AB 2013.
53%
AI
1Y
16 Sept 2027
California's Government Operations Agency establishes an operational AI Auditor Registry pursuant to AB 1405.
48%
AI
1Y
16 Sept 2027
The United States establishes mandatory federal AI safety requirements.
28%
AI
1Y
16 Sept 2027
The European Commission takes formal enforcement action against at least one AI company following its information requests.
50%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
The U.S. District Court for the Central District of California issues a merits decision in the litigation over California AB 2013.
42%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
DeepSeek formally files for an initial public offering in China.
40%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
The European Commission opens formal proceedings under the AI Act against at least one AI company.
63%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
The UK Information Commissioner's Office publishes a statutory code of practice on AI and automated decision-making.
58%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
A federal court strikes down California AB 2013 on constitutional grounds.
22%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
The European Commission opens at least one formal investigation under the EU AI Act against a recipient of its preliminary information requests.
51%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
The European Commission opens a formal AI Act compliance investigation against at least one AI company.
65%
AI