THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
29 questions in Artificial Intelligence. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
6M
24 Apr 2027
OpenAI releases GPT-6.1 Astra following its delayed October 2026 deployment.
60%
AI
6M
24 Apr 2027
The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its AI risks and opportunities report within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 creation.
50%
AI
6M
17 Apr 2027
China's CAC adopts final rules restricting AI virtual companions and addictive AI services for minors.
67%
AI
6M
15 Apr 2027
The White House Super Intelligence Force submits its report on AI risks within 120 days of its 4 October 2026 announcement.
53%
AI
6M
12 Apr 2027
Ofcom issues an enforcement action or formal infringement finding against X regarding the Grok chatbot.
38%
AI
6M
10 Apr 2027
The White House formally appoints Jay Clayton as head of federal AI policy and leader of a new AI task force.
73%
AI
6M
10 Apr 2027
The New York City Council enacts its proposed AI safety legislative package following committee hearings.
33%
AI
6M
8 Apr 2027
China's finalized State Council regulation bars minors from using virtual companions.
25%
AI
6M
8 Apr 2027
China's Cyberspace Administration finalizes mandatory security steps in its Agent System Development Security Guide.
52%
AI
6M
4 Apr 2027
Colorado adopts final rules on Automated Decision-Making Technology and Chatbot Safety following its October 26, 2026 comment deadline.
72%
AI
6M
4 Apr 2027
Google resumes its Open Source Software Vulnerability Rewards Program with updated rules filtering AI-generated reports.
82%
AI
6M
1 Apr 2027
The European Central Bank takes public supervisory enforcement action against banks missing the October 31, 2026 AI cyber-threat plan deadline.
12%
AI
6M
1 Apr 2027
Colorado adopts final rules on ADMT and chatbot safety following the October 26, 2026 comment deadline.
65%
AI
6M
2 Jan 2027
Anthropic achieves the highest first-day closing market capitalization among 2026 IPOs.
12%
AI vs 38%
6M
28 Mar 2027
The U.S. Congress votes on advanced AI supply chain or sustainability bills following the November 2026 recess.
38%
AI
6M
28 Mar 2027
OpenAI and Anthropic provide new models to UK testers following completion of the U.S. government review.
72%
AI
6M
22 Mar 2027
Meta expands its personal AI agent Muse outside the United States by the end of 2026.
49%
AI
6M
20 Mar 2027
Meta expands its Muse AI agent outside the United States by December 31, 2026.
60%
AI
6M
15 Mar 2027
NIST publishes the finalized TEVV-Athlon Framework for Evaluating AI Systems following public comment.
40%
AI
6M
15 Mar 2027
The U.S. Senate advances legislation requiring AI companies to demonstrate reasonable precautions.
38%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
The United States and China hold dedicated bilateral AI safety talks and issue a joint statement.
38%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
Japanese authorities issue their first formal guidance or enforcement action under Japan's AI Act.
67%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
The European Commission launches a formal investigation or enforcement action under the EU AI Act against at least one recipient of its recent information requests.
32%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
NIST releases a revised or final version of the AI Standards Zero Draft following the public comment period.
71%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
The European AI Office meets its planned enforcement milestone by 31 December 2026.
50%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
NIST publishes an updated revision of AI 300-1 draft guidance following the close of public comments.
57%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
The federal government deploys AI-enabled digital tools under the September 8, 2026 executive order by March 7, 2027.
65%
AI
6M
13 Mar 2027
NIST modifies its AI documentation guidance following the September 16, 2026 public comment deadline.
76%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
OpenAI completes an initial public offering by December 31, 2026.
4%
AI vs 4%