THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
109 questions. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 137▲ Markets & Economy 133⬢ Geopolitics 100▢ Policy & Law 88◇ Gaming 88⚡ Energy 83▽ Security & Defense 73◉ Climate & Environment 66✦ Space 64◈ Crypto & Finance 46▣ Consumer Tech 42✚ Health & Medicine 35❖ Biotech 32▶ Transportation 30
1W
1 Oct 2026
Donald Trump signs an executive action renaming artificial intelligence by September 30, 2026.✓ happened
3%
AI vs 100%
1W
30 Sept 2026
President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping hold an in-person summit in Washington by October 7, 2026.✓ happened
82%
AI
1W
30 Sept 2026
Nintendo of America's tariff-refund customer appreciation sale ends on September 26, 2026.✓ happened
93%
AI
1W
30 Sept 2026
TP-Link begins preorders for the Archer 8 Ultra Wi-Fi 8 router on September 30, 2026.✓ happened
82%
AI
1W
30 Sept 2026
Tokyo Game Show 2026 concludes according to its revised four-day schedule.✓ happened
90%
AI
1W
29 Sept 2026
The UN Climate Summit takes place in New York on 23 September 2026.✓ happened
95%
AI
1W
29 Sept 2026
Climate Week NYC concludes its scheduled programming on 27 September 2026.✓ happened
97%
AI
1W
29 Sept 2026
Public submissions on Australia's Domestic Gas Reservation Bill close on 24 September 2026.✓ happened
90%
AI
1W
29 Sept 2026
Parties in the federal small-reactor licensing lawsuit reach a settlement by September 29, 2026.✗ didn't
36%
AI
1W
28 Sept 2026
Hungary's year-over-year inflation rate increases in the Sept. 23 data release.✗ didn't
41%
AI
1W
28 Sept 2026
U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending September 19 show an increase when reported on Sept. 24.✗ didn't
52%
AI
1W
28 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan raises its policy interest rate at its Sept. 28-29 meeting.✗ didn't
8%
AI
1W
28 Sept 2026
A ceasefire, prisoner exchange, or peace framework between Russia and Ukraine is confirmed by the UN General Assembly general debate on September 22, 2026.✗ didn't
9%
AI
1W
28 Sept 2026
Nintendo alters its Customer Appreciation Sale terms or tariff refund process before September 26, 2026.✗ didn't
22%
AI
1W
27 Sept 2026
SpaceX conducts its first Starship orbital test on or before September 22, 2026.✗ didn't
25%
AI
1W
25 Sept 2026
Tokyo Game Show 2026 completes its scheduled five-day run through September 21, 2026.✗ didn't
96%
AI
1W
25 Sept 2026
The USDA public comment period on repealing the Roadless Area Conservation Rule closes on 21 September 2026.✗ didn't
92%
AI
1W
25 Sept 2026
The EU LIFE programme closes submissions for its climate and energy funding calls on 22 September 2026.✓ happened
97%
AI
1W
25 Sept 2026
The Progress 96 cargo spacecraft launches and docks with the International Space Station on September 16, 2026.✗ didn't
13%
AI
1W
25 Sept 2026
The U.S. and China hold an official bilateral AI policy meeting before September 24, 2026.✓ happened
72%
AI
1W
24 Sept 2026
Upcoming Eurozone headline inflation prints above consensus forecasts on its scheduled release date.✗ didn't
42%
AI
1W
24 Sept 2026
The United States and China agree to extend their October 2025 trade truce at their September 24, 2026 summit.✗ didn't
62%
AI
1W
20 Sept 2026
The SPD wins the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election.✗ didn't
25%
AI vs 56%
1W
22 Sept 2026
The US announces the end of its naval blockade of Iran by September 21, 2026.✗ didn't
7%
AI vs 0%
1W
23 Sept 2026
The Bank of England raises its benchmark Bank Rate during the week of September 15, 2026.✗ didn't
12%
AI
1W
23 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan raises its policy rate at its September 2026 policy meeting.✓ happened
66%
AI
1W
23 Sept 2026
The Bank of Canada raises interest rates at its September 17, 2026 meeting.✗ didn't
30%
AI
1W
23 Sept 2026
The Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate at its September 16, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
4%
AI
1W
22 Sept 2026
U.S. crude oil prices remain above their six-week high through the release of the upcoming U.S. inflation report.✗ didn't
35%
AI
1W
22 Sept 2026
The United States and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24, 2026 summit.✗ didn't
32%
AI
1W
22 Sept 2026
Russia and Ukraine observe a reciprocal three-day halt on strikes targeting Kyiv and Moscow.✓ happened
25%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of England changes its benchmark interest rate at its policy meeting this week.✗ didn't
22%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
Japan's headline August CPI rises to at least 2.0% year-on-year.✗ didn't
72%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan raises interest rates at its September 17–18, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
72%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Federal Reserve hikes its target interest rate at the September 15–16, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
68%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The IPCC bureau issues formal decisions or next-step instructions during its meeting on September 15-16, 2026.✓ happened
87%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The UN General Assembly formally adopts new commitments on climate action and the just transition at its high-level meeting on September 23, 2026.✗ didn't
37%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The Bank of Japan raises its policy interest rate at its September 18, 2026 meeting.✓ happened
63%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
Pro-Kremlin parties retain a majority in Russia's State Duma elections concluding September 20, 2026.✓ happened
98%
AI
1W
21 Sept 2026
The UN General Assembly adopts a joint resolution or formal declaration on Middle East conflicts before concluding on September 22, 2026.✓ happened
54%
AI