THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

6 questions in Policy & Law. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
6M 12 Apr 2027

The US-China trade truce remains in effect through January 31, 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 38
66%
AI
6M 1 Jan 2027

Samuel Alito announces his retirement from the Supreme Court by December 31, 2026.

▢ Policy & Law spread 8 vs market -4
10%
AI vs 14%
6M 1 Jan 2027

Donald Trump ceases to be President of the United States before 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 9 vs market +2
6%
AI vs 4%
6M 3 Jan 2027

Mitch McConnell steps down from his U.S. Senate seat before his term ends.

▢ Policy & Law spread 8 vs market -2
9%
AI vs 11%
6M 13 Mar 2027

The United Kingdom enacts an import ban on goods produced in Israeli West Bank settlements.

▢ Policy & Law spread 40
60%
AI
6M 13 Mar 2027

France, the UK, or Canada formally implements an import ban on goods from Israeli West Bank settlements.

▢ Policy & Law spread 23
25%
AI