THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

17 questions in Policy & Law. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1Y 18 Oct 2027

Representative Ritchie Torres introduces legislation regarding digital game ownership in the US Congress.

▢ Policy & Law spread 22
71%
AI
1Y 14 Oct 2027

The US Supreme Court issues a decision on the legality of presidential tariff authority before July 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 50
70%
AI
1Y 14 Oct 2027

The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of birthright citizenship before the end of June 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 54
45%
AI
1Y 14 Oct 2027

The US Supreme Court issues a ruling in a major ballroom or historic dance hall licensing dispute before the end of its 2026-2027 term.

▢ Policy & Law spread 2
3%
AI
1Y 12 Oct 2027

A federal court issues an injunction or ruling against the presidential executive order blocking state AI regulations.

▢ Policy & Law spread 52
67%
AI
1Y 11 Oct 2027

A court strikes down the Trump administration's relaxed vehicle fuel-economy rules.

▢ Policy & Law spread 60
40%
AI
1Y 5 Oct 2027

Iraq completes its roadmap to bring all weapons outside state control under government authority by June 30, 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 12
12%
AI
1Y 1 Jul 2027

Oklahoma enacts a statewide moratorium on new data centers by June 30, 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 4 vs market -13
4%
AI vs 17%
1Y 29 Sept 2027

The US Supreme Court issues a ruling on the constitutionality of state AR-15 or assault weapon bans before July 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 52
40%
AI
1Y 29 Sept 2027

The US Supreme Court issues a decision addressing birthright citizenship before July 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 59
54%
AI
1Y 1 Jul 2027

BYD is fully removed from the Section 1260H Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 12 vs market -4
12%
AI vs 16%
1Y 20 Sept 2027

The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of the Illinois Protect Illinois Communities Act (PICA) before July 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 51
36%
AI
1Y 20 Sept 2027

The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of a state assault weapons ban before July 2027.

▢ Policy & Law spread 41
38%
AI
1Y 20 Sept 2027

The US Supreme Court issues a major ruling on mail-in ballot regulations before the end of the October 2026 term.

▢ Policy & Law spread 23
34%
AI
1Y 17 Sept 2027

A New York federal court rules the CFTC holds exclusive jurisdiction over prediction markets.

▢ Policy & Law spread 16
29%
AI
1Y 17 Sept 2027

The Canadian government reduces or repeals its 50% counter-tariff on video game consoles.

▢ Policy & Law spread 49
38%
AI
1Y 14 Sept 2027

The United Kingdom, France, and Canada implement new trade restrictions on Israel over West Bank settlement expansion.

▢ Policy & Law spread 15
22%
AI