THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
20 questions in Policy & Law. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1M
26 Nov 2026
South Korea's culture ministry announces new funding or formal esports policy changes at G-STAR 2026.
62%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
The Republican nominee wins the Maine U.S. Senate election in 2026.
25%
AI vs 39%
1M
4 Nov 2026
The Republican nominee wins the Texas gubernatorial election in 2026.
90%
AI vs 69%
1M
4 Nov 2026
A proposition establishing a one-time wealth tax on billionaires passes in California's 2026 general election.
4%
AI vs 22%
1M
17 Nov 2026
The United States imposes duties on imports from the top five buyers of Russian oil and gas following the October 18, 2026 executive order trigger.
30%
AI
1M
1 Nov 2026
The Trump administration announces a new permanent White House Press Secretary by October 31, 2026.
38%
AI vs 3%
1M
4 Nov 2026
The Democratic Party wins the Michigan U.S. Senate election in 2026.
61%
AI vs 70%
1M
8 Nov 2026
Israel holds its general election on October 27, 2026.
88%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections.
48%
AI vs 27%
1M
6 Nov 2026
Israel holds its planned national elections before the end of October 2026.
91%
AI
1M
6 Nov 2026
The US Supreme Court issues a decision on state mail-in ballot deadlines before November 2026.
25%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
A Democrat wins the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
45%
AI vs 70%
1M
27 Oct 2026
The Governor of California signs the clean energy and climate bills passed at the end of the 2026 legislative session.
86%
AI
1M
26 Oct 2026
A revised UN sanctions-monitoring mechanism on Iran is adopted before the current arrangement lapses.
10%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The United States and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at their meeting on September 24, 2026.✓ happened
40%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The United States and China agree to extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24 summit in Washington, DC.✗ didn't
30%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The United States and China agree to extend their trade truce at the September 24 Washington summit.✓ happened
65%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The US and China extend their October 2025 trade truce at the September 24, 2026 bilateral summit.✓ happened
62%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The United States and China extend their bilateral trade truce during the September 24, 2026 summit.
57%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
The United States and Canada allow U.S. import bans on select Canadian goods to take effect by September 30, 2026.
68%
AI