THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
12 questions in Policy & Law. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
3Y
8 Nov 2028
J.D. Vance wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.
44%
AI vs 38%
3Y
6 Oct 2029
A new justice is confirmed to the US Supreme Court before January 2029.
50%
AI
3Y
8 Nov 2028
Josh Shapiro wins the 2028 Democratic nomination for President of the United States.
13%
AI vs 5%
3Y
1 Jan 2028
Oklahoma enacts a statewide data center moratorium by December 31, 2027.
6%
AI vs 22%
3Y
1 Jan 2028
Missouri enacts a statewide data center moratorium by December 31, 2027.
4%
AI vs 14%
3Y
7 Nov 2028
Andy Beshear wins the 2028 Democratic nomination for President of the United States.
7%
AI vs 3%
3Y
19 Sept 2029
A vacancy arises on the US Supreme Court before December 31, 2028.
58%
AI
3Y
19 Sept 2029
The US Supreme Court issues a merits decision regarding Temporary Protected Status (TPS) for Haitian nationals before July 2028.
18%
AI
3Y
19 Sept 2029
The US Supreme Court rules on the constitutionality of birthright citizenship restrictions before July 2028.
37%
AI
3Y
17 Sept 2029
The European Union passes legislation banning children under 13 from online games and social media.
31%
AI
3Y
7 Nov 2028
Kamala Harris wins the 2028 Democratic nomination for U.S. President.
18%
AI vs 6%
3Y
7 Nov 2028
A Democratic candidate wins the 2028 US presidential election.
53%
AI vs 65%