THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
36 questions in Health & Medicine. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
10Y
26 Oct 2036
An autonomous surgical robot performs a complete invasive human operation without human intervention before 2032.
11%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
An FDA-approved treatment that halts or reverses cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease becomes available before 2036.
14%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
A broad-spectrum curative therapy for metastatic solid tumors is approved before 2035.
5%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
An mRNA-based therapeutic cancer vaccine receives full FDA approval for curative intent before 2032.
35%
AI
50Y
12 Oct 2076
A definitive cure for at least three of the top five deadliest cancers is approved before 2040.
6%
AI
50Y
12 Oct 2076
A universal cure or definitive therapeutic regimen eliminating all major human cancers is approved by a major regulatory agency before 2050.
4%
AI
10Y
16 Oct 2036
The FDA approves a disease-reversing curative treatment for Alzheimer's disease before 2036.
13%
AI
10Y
16 Oct 2036
An effective universal cure or broadly curative therapy for most major cancers is approved by the FDA before 2036.
3%
AI
5Y
16 Oct 2031
A therapy demonstrated to significantly extend maximum human lifespan enters Phase III clinical trials before 2031.
9%
AI
1Y
17 Oct 2027
The ISS IV-fluid generation system meets operational reliability standards for spaceflight medical use.
30%
AI
1Y
17 Oct 2027
Expedition 74's microgravity stem-cell investigation demonstrates scalable production of blood stem cells aboard the ISS.
16%
AI
1M
14 Nov 2026
Health Canada begins accepting applications for its academic-led pediatric clinical trials pilot on October 30, 2026.
91%
AI
1M
14 Nov 2026
The FDA selects sponsors for its expedited IND pilot following the October 30, 2026 application deadline.
63%
AI
3Y
12 Oct 2029
A major peer-reviewed study demonstrates that common commercial anti-aging skin products accelerate biological cellular aging before 2028.
8%
AI
10Y
8 Oct 2036
The FDA approves a curative therapy that halts and reverses cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease before 2035.
9%
AI
50Y
28 Sept 2076
An FDA-approved broad-spectrum curative therapy for multiple major metastatic cancers becomes available before 2040.
9%
AI
1M
7 Nov 2026
TRISH presents findings on Mars mission health concerns on October 22, 2026.
90%
AI
1W
15 Oct 2026
TRISH releases its scheduled space-health briefing on Blue Origin and spaceflight risk on October 13, 2026.
78%
AI
3M
1 Jan 2027
The World Health Organization characterizes any plague outbreak as a pandemic before the end of 2026.
2%
AI vs 2%
6M
4 Apr 2027
NASA reports initial results from Crew-13 stem-cell, blood-flow, or diagnostic research before the crew returns from the ISS.
67%
AI
50Y
21 Sept 2076
A curative treatment for Alzheimer's disease is approved within 20 years.
12%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
A clinically proven cure for dementia is approved before 2032.
6%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
A disease-reversing cure for Alzheimer's disease receives FDA approval before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
A definitive cure for at least five major cancers is approved within 10 years.
7%
AI
50Y
21 Sept 2076
A definitive cure for cancer is developed and approved within 20 years.
4%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
An FDA-approved universal cure for all major forms of cancer is available before 2035.
1%
AI
1M
31 Oct 2026
The FDA issues a decision on the drug candidate with a target date of October 9, 2026.
87%
AI
10Y
23 Sept 2036
An FDA-approved treatment that reverses or fully halts cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease becomes available before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
22 Sept 2036
A curative treatment for at least three of the top five deadliest cancers is approved by the FDA before October 2036.
7%
AI
50Y
12 Sept 2076
A universal cure or vaccine effectively eliminating cancer mortality across most major types is approved by regulatory agencies before 2040.
5%
AI
6M
1 Jan 2027
The World Health Organization explicitly characterizes a Hantavirus outbreak as a pandemic in 2026.
2%
AI vs 2%
10Y
17 Sept 2036
An AI system is granted full regulatory approval to independently diagnose and prescribe treatment without doctor oversight by 2032.
16%
AI
10Y
14 Sept 2036
A universal or broadly curative therapy for most major cancer types is approved before 2035.
4%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
AbbVie submits a regulatory filing for etentamig based on the Phase 3 CERVINO study.
74%
AI
1Y
14 Sept 2027
The FDA withdraws marketing approval for Amgen's Tavneos.
18%
AI
1M
14 Oct 2026
Indonesian health ministry reports show another week-on-week increase in respiratory infections from wildfires in the next official update.
64%
AI