THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
69 questions in Climate & Environment. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
3M
25 Jan 2027
EU environment ministers reach agreement by December 2026 on the pending market-related climate file.
58%
AI
1W
3 Nov 2026
The European Commission presents its climate resilience plan during the final week of October 2026.
68%
AI
1Y
27 Oct 2027
Governments agree on the AR7 publication schedule at the next IPCC meeting.
49%
AI
5Y
17 Oct 2031
Global annual greenhouse gas emissions peak before 2030.
40%
AI
10Y
15 Oct 2036
Global mean sea level rises by more than 10 centimeters above 2020 baselines by 2035.
8%
AI
5Y
17 Oct 2031
Chennai experiences a Day Zero municipal water supply failure before 2030.
17%
AI
5Y
17 Oct 2031
Punjab records a new all-time high summer temperature surpassing 50 degrees Celsius before 2030.
22%
AI
5Y
17 Oct 2031
Global average surface temperature warming exceeds 1.5 degrees Celsius across a sustained multi-year average before 2030.
31%
AI
1M
16 Nov 2026
Governments and scientists agree on a delivery schedule for the IPCC AR7 reports before COP31.
33%
AI
3M
15 Jan 2027
Leaders at COP31 in Türkiye reach an agreement on new climate-action measures.
85%
AI
1Y
17 Oct 2027
The EPA finalizes its proposed rule rescinding the Methane Super Emitter Program.
74%
AI
1Y
15 Oct 2027
A federal court halts the rollback of power-plant emissions rules challenged by US states.
58%
AI
3M
13 Jan 2027
COP31 results in an agreement on the EU-proposed greenhouse-gas emissions reduction package.
16%
AI
1Y
13 Oct 2027
The U.S. Supreme Court rules in favor of oil industry defendants in pending climate-damage liability litigation.
63%
AI
1Y
13 Oct 2027
The EPA issues a final rule rescinding the Super Emitter Program for oil and gas operations.
74%
AI
3M
11 Jan 2027
Countries adopt a formal emissions-cutting agreement package at COP31 in Antalya.
35%
AI
1M
10 Nov 2026
A coastal wave energy pulse raises sea levels by half a foot along Southern California.
70%
AI
1Y
11 Oct 2027
A federal court restores limits on emissions from power plants previously eliminated by the Trump EPA.
35%
AI
1Y
11 Oct 2027
The U.S. Supreme Court allows local governments' climate lawsuits against oil and gas companies to proceed.
60%
AI
3Y
9 Oct 2029
Global average surface temperature anomalies remain above 1.5°C through 2029.
48%
AI
50Y
27 Sept 2076
Climate change causes human extinction before 2100.
1%
AI
1M
8 Nov 2026
The CDP closes its 2026 environmental disclosure reporting cycle on October 28, 2026.
89%
AI
3M
7 Jan 2027
The European Union formally weakens its planned phaseout of internal combustion engine vehicles by end of 2026.
50%
AI
1W
14 Oct 2026
UN scientists and government officials agree on the AR7 assessment report timeline at the Addis Ababa meeting ending 16 October 2026.✗ didn't
65%
AI
1M
6 Nov 2026
The European Commission presents its climate resilience and risk management framework before the end of October 2026.
63%
AI
1W
14 Oct 2026
The UN carbon market rule-making body adopts new rules for the crediting mechanism by 9 October 2026.✓ happened
72%
AI
1Y
4 Oct 2027
A federal court upholds the EPA's repeal of greenhouse-gas emissions rules for power plants.
48%
AI
50Y
21 Sept 2076
Global net carbon dioxide emissions reach net zero before 2050.
7%
AI
10Y
30 Sept 2036
The IPCC reports that global warming has crossed multiple irreversible tipping points before 2035.
9%
AI
50Y
20 Sept 2076
Global warming renders more than 20 percent of currently inhabited land thermally uninhabitable before 2050.
3%
AI
50Y
20 Sept 2076
Climate-induced environmental factors cause human extinction before 2100.
1%
AI
6M
31 Mar 2027
A legal challenge is filed against the approval of New South Wales's largest coal project.
82%
AI
1Y
2 Oct 2027
The D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals agrees to review the rollback of carbon pollution standards for fossil-fuel power plants.
92%
AI
6M
28 Mar 2027
The EPA finalizes a rule abdicating its responsibility to regulate greenhouse gas emissions following the November 2, 2026 public comment deadline.
31%
AI
3M
26 Dec 2026
All participating nations endorse Turkey's COP31 climate summit action agenda.
16%
AI
1W
2 Oct 2026
Follow-up pledges or agreements from the UN Climate Summit are registered by September 28, 2026.
74%
AI
1W
2 Oct 2026
Formal policy or financing commitments are announced by the close of Climate Week NYC on September 27, 2026.✓ happened
92%
AI
1W
29 Sept 2026
The UN Climate Summit takes place in New York on 23 September 2026.✓ happened
95%
AI
1W
29 Sept 2026
Climate Week NYC concludes its scheduled programming on 27 September 2026.✓ happened
97%
AI
3M
21 Dec 2026
The EPA's public comment period on rescinding remaining greenhouse-gas requirements for power plants closes on November 2, 2026.
57%
AI