THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
30 questions in Transportation. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 137▲ Markets & Economy 133⬢ Geopolitics 100▢ Policy & Law 88◇ Gaming 88⚡ Energy 83▽ Security & Defense 73◉ Climate & Environment 66✦ Space 64◈ Crypto & Finance 46▣ Consumer Tech 42✚ Health & Medicine 35❖ Biotech 32▶ Transportation 30
10Y
22 Oct 2036
A commercial cruise ship powered by a nuclear reactor enters service before 2036.
4%
AI
10Y
22 Oct 2036
A major automaker unveils a nuclear-powered passenger car concept before 2036.
6%
AI
3Y
13 Oct 2029
A production electric passenger vehicle achieves an EPA-rated range exceeding 600 miles before 2028.
22%
AI
5Y
12 Oct 2031
The United Kingdom or a majority of US states implement a mandatory per-mile road usage charge on electric vehicles before 2030.
18%
AI
1W
20 Oct 2026
Tesla reveals the Roadster 2 on October 15, 2026.
57%
AI
5Y
12 Oct 2031
Electric vehicles account for more than 50% of new light vehicle sales in Australia before 2030.
15%
AI
3Y
12 Oct 2029
The average transaction price for a new electric vehicle in the United States falls below $35,000 before 2029.
22%
AI
5Y
12 Oct 2031
A commercially certified flying car or eVTOL passenger vehicle begins regular passenger operations before 2030.
62%
AI
50Y
28 Sept 2076
A production consumer car powered by an onboard nuclear reactor is announced before 2040.
2%
AI
10Y
4 Oct 2036
Electric vehicles make up a majority of all registered passenger vehicles in operation in the European Union before 2035.
3%
AI
3Y
5 Oct 2029
A major automaker begins mass production of passenger cars equipped with solid-state batteries before 2029.
28%
AI
3Y
5 Oct 2029
The average purchase price of a new electric car drops below the average gasoline car in the US before 2028.
20%
AI
5Y
5 Oct 2031
The United Kingdom bans the sale of new pure internal combustion engine cars by the end of 2030.
63%
AI
5Y
5 Oct 2031
Electric vehicles account for more than 50% of new passenger car sales globally before 2030.
27%
AI
3Y
5 Oct 2029
Commercial eVTOL passenger services operate regularly in at least one major US or European city before 2028.
22%
AI
10Y
2 Oct 2036
A civil or military aircraft powered by an onboard nuclear reactor completes a flight test before 2036.
4%
AI
3M
1 Nov 2026
IMF Portwatch reports a 7-day moving average of 60 or more daily transit calls in the Strait of Hormuz by October 31, 2026.
55%
AI vs 0%
5Y
27 Sept 2031
Flying cars or passenger eVTOLs operate scheduled commercial service in at least three major global cities by 2030.
25%
AI
10Y
25 Sept 2036
Urban air mobility routes carry over 1 million passengers annually worldwide before 2035.
30%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
Commercial flying car or air taxi operations launch in India before 2030.
20%
AI
10Y
25 Sept 2036
Personal flying cars become commercially available for consumer purchase before 2032.
14%
AI
5Y
27 Sept 2031
A commercially certified passenger eVTOL or flying car begins regular commercial passenger operations before 2030.
63%
AI
1M
1 Oct 2026
IMF PortWatch records a 7-day moving average of 10 or fewer transit calls in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait by September 30, 2026.✗ didn't
8%
AI vs 0%
10Y
17 Sept 2036
A major commercial airline operates scheduled passenger flights with fully autonomous AI cockpits by 2035.
5%
AI
10Y
17 Sept 2036
Flying cars or eVTOL air taxis account for over 100,000 passenger trips annually before 2035.
47%
AI
3Y
18 Sept 2029
Commercial flying car or air taxi services become open to the general public before 2028.
25%
AI
5Y
18 Sept 2031
A commercially certified flying car or passenger eVTOL begins public sales before 2030.
23%
AI
1Y
18 Sept 2027
The United States enacts a mandate requiring automakers to include free AM radio in new vehicles.
46%
AI
6M
14 Mar 2027
Tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal operational levels before the end of 2026.
34%
AI
6M
31 Dec 2026
IMF Portwatch reports Strait of Hormuz 7-day average ship transits at or above 60 before 2027.
51%
AI vs 12%