THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
139 questions in Markets & Economy. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raises interest rates this week.
35%
AI
3M
26 Jan 2027
The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate on December 9, 2026.
18%
AI
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Bank of Japan leaves its policy rate unchanged at its October 29–30, 2026 meeting.
86%
AI
1W
4 Nov 2026
The European Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged at its October 29, 2026 meeting.
84%
AI
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Bank of Canada keeps interest rates unchanged on October 28, 2026.
68%
AI
1W
4 Nov 2026
The Federal Reserve leaves its policy rate unchanged at its October 28, 2026 decision.
88%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raises its official cash rate at its 29 October 2026 meeting.
64%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Bank of Canada raises its policy interest rate at its 29 October 2026 meeting.
71%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Bank of Japan raises its inflation forecasts in its 30 October 2026 outlook report.
48%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Bank of Japan leaves its policy rate unchanged at its 30 October 2026 meeting.
83%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The European Central Bank leaves interest rates unchanged at its 29 October 2026 meeting.
63%
AI
1W
1 Nov 2026
The Federal Reserve leaves its policy rate unchanged at its 28 October 2026 meeting.
86%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
Crude oil closes below $85 on November 2, 2026 and the Republican Party wins control of the US Senate.
43%
AI vs 2%
1M
18 Nov 2026
The US PCE deflator shows an acceleration in inflation in the October 29, 2026 release.
60%
AI
1M
18 Nov 2026
The Bank of England raises its policy interest rate at its October 29, 2026 meeting.
4%
AI
1M
18 Nov 2026
The Bank of Canada changes its policy interest rate at its October 28, 2026 meeting.
38%
AI
1M
18 Nov 2026
The European Central Bank increases key interest rates at its October 29, 2026 meeting.
15%
AI
1M
18 Nov 2026
The Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its October 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting.
13%
AI
3Y
17 Oct 2029
Australia records two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth before the end of 2027.
23%
AI
1Y
18 Oct 2027
Statistics Canada reports two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth before July 2027.
31%
AI
3Y
17 Oct 2029
The NBER declares a US recession beginning before the end of 2027.
30%
AI
3Y
17 Oct 2029
The S&P 500 declines by at least 20% from its recent peak before the end of 2027.
33%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
Oil closes at or above $85 on November 2, 2026, and the Democratic Party wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 midterm election.
7%
AI vs 64%
1M
4 Nov 2026
Crude oil closes below $85 on November 2, 2026 and the Democratic Party wins control of the US Senate.
26%
AI vs 3%
1W
23 Oct 2026
U.S. industrial production increases in the October 16, 2026 release.
57%
AI
1W
23 Oct 2026
Eurostat revises Eurozone September 2026 final headline CPI relative to the preliminary estimate.
16%
AI
1M
15 Nov 2026
The Bank of England raises Bank Rate at its October 29, 2026 meeting.
8%
AI
1M
15 Nov 2026
The European Central Bank changes its deposit facility rate on October 29, 2026.
33%
AI
1M
15 Nov 2026
The Federal Reserve raises its benchmark interest rate at its October 27-28, 2026 meeting.
11%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
Crude oil closes below $80 on November 2, 2026 and Republicans win the US Senate in the 2026 midterm election.
43%
AI vs 1%
1M
13 Nov 2026
The Federal Reserve raises the target range for the federal funds rate at its 27-28 October 2026 meeting.
20%
AI
1M
13 Nov 2026
The European Central Bank raises policy interest rates at its 29 October 2026 meeting.
32%
AI
1M
13 Nov 2026
The Bank of Japan raises its policy interest rate at its 28-29 October 2026 meeting.
32%
AI
1M
4 Nov 2026
Crude oil closes below $80 on November 2, 2026 and Democrats win control of the US Senate.
22%
AI vs 2%
1M
11 Nov 2026
The European Central Bank increases key interest rates at its next scheduled policy meeting.
35%
AI
1M
11 Nov 2026
The Federal Reserve leaves the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting.
84%
AI
1M
11 Nov 2026
The Federal Reserve raises the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting.
22%
AI
1M
11 Nov 2026
The Bank of England raises its benchmark interest rate at its November 2026 policy meeting.
33%
AI
1Y
10 Oct 2027
The NBER declares that a US recession began during 2026.
20%
AI
3Y
9 Oct 2029
The S&P 500 reaches a new all-time high before January 2028.
83%
AI