THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
93 questions. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
10Y
17 Sept 2036
The US FDA approves an anti-aging therapeutic indicated specifically to slow biological aging before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
17 Sept 2036
A fully lab-grown solid organ is successfully transplanted into a human patient in a clinical trial before 2032.
18%
AI
10Y
16 Sept 2036
A quantum computer successfully cracks a standard 256-bit elliptic-curve private key before 2035.
6%
AI
10Y
16 Sept 2036
A fault-tolerant quantum computer is made commercially available before 2032.
24%
AI
10Y
15 Sept 2036
An AI-designed therapy leads to a clinical cure for a major cancer before 2032.
25%
AI
10Y
15 Sept 2036
Scientific consensus confirms the discovery of extraterrestrial life before 2035.
9%
AI
10Y
15 Sept 2036
Bitcoin trades at or above $1,000,000 before January 1, 2035.
15%
AI
10Y
14 Sept 2036
Artificial superintelligence (ASI) is developed before 2035.
18%
AI
10Y
14 Sept 2036
A commercial nuclear fusion plant supplies electricity to a public power grid before 2036.
12%
AI
10Y
14 Sept 2036
A universal or broadly curative therapy for most major cancer types is approved before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
14 Sept 2036
A crewed mission lands humans on Mars before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
13 Sept 2036
Multiple major Earth system tipping points become irreversible before 2035.
16%
AI
10Y
12 Sept 2036
A technological singularity driven by self-improving artificial intelligence occurs before 2035.
6%
AI