THE ARCHIVE
Every forecast,
in order.
93 questions. Sorted by newest.
◆ Artificial Intelligence 141▲ Markets & Economy 139⬢ Geopolitics 109▢ Policy & Law 97◇ Gaming 94⚡ Energy 85▽ Security & Defense 76◉ Climate & Environment 69✦ Space 66▣ Consumer Tech 48◈ Crypto & Finance 47❖ Biotech 38✚ Health & Medicine 36▶ Transportation 35
10Y
6 Oct 2036
A scientific consensus concludes that an artificial intelligence system has achieved self-awareness before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
6 Oct 2036
An artificial intelligence system autonomously controls key global economic or military infrastructure before 2035.
7%
AI
10Y
6 Oct 2036
Cultivated meat surpasses 10 percent of total global meat consumption by volume before 2035.
3%
AI
10Y
4 Oct 2036
Global unemployment exceeds 15% due to AI automation before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
4 Oct 2036
Electric vehicles make up a majority of all registered passenger vehicles in operation in the European Union before 2035.
3%
AI
10Y
3 Oct 2036
At least 10% of households in the United States own a general-purpose bipedal or mobile manipulator robot before 2035.
5%
AI
10Y
3 Oct 2036
Over 100 million general-purpose service robots are deployed worldwide before 2035.
7%
AI
10Y
2 Oct 2036
Scientists confirm the discovery of extraterrestrial life before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
2 Oct 2036
A civil or military aircraft powered by an onboard nuclear reactor completes a flight test before 2036.
4%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
Nuclear fission and fusion generate more than 20% of global electricity in 2035.
3%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
A commercial nuclear fusion reactor begins supplying electricity under a power purchase agreement before 2032.
9%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
A commercial nuclear fusion plant supplies electricity to an active grid before 2035.
8%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
A clinically proven cure for dementia is approved before 2032.
6%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
A disease-reversing cure for Alzheimer's disease receives FDA approval before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
A definitive cure for at least five major cancers is approved within 10 years.
7%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
Humans land on Mars before 2035.
12%
AI
10Y
1 Oct 2036
An FDA-approved universal cure for all major forms of cancer is available before 2035.
1%
AI
10Y
30 Sept 2036
The IPCC reports that global warming has crossed multiple irreversible tipping points before 2035.
9%
AI
10Y
29 Sept 2036
Australia's sovereign territory comes under sustained military attack in a major conflict before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
28 Sept 2036
A quantum computer decrypts standard 2048-bit RSA encryption before 2035.
13%
AI
10Y
25 Sept 2036
AI systems automate more than 50% of current occupational tasks in the United States before 2035.
16%
AI
10Y
25 Sept 2036
Urban air mobility routes carry over 1 million passengers annually worldwide before 2035.
30%
AI
10Y
25 Sept 2036
Personal flying cars become commercially available for consumer purchase before 2032.
14%
AI
10Y
25 Sept 2036
At least 10% of households in developed nations own a multi-purpose mobile robot by 2035.
8%
AI
10Y
25 Sept 2036
Robots displace more than 20% of global manufacturing jobs by 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
24 Sept 2036
A fully lab-grown solid human organ is successfully transplanted into a human patient before 2032.
22%
AI
10Y
24 Sept 2036
A clinical trial begins treating human embryos with heritable germline gene editing before 2035.
13%
AI
10Y
24 Sept 2036
A general-purpose quantum computer is made publicly available for direct consumer purchase before 2035.
4%
AI
10Y
24 Sept 2036
Scientists confirm the detection of extraterrestrial life before 2035.
12%
AI
10Y
23 Sept 2036
A commercial nuclear fusion plant supplies electricity to a power grid before 2036.
13%
AI
10Y
23 Sept 2036
An AI-designed drug candidate cures or reverses Alzheimer's pathology in human clinical trials before 2036.
9%
AI
10Y
23 Sept 2036
An FDA-approved treatment that reverses or fully halts cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease becomes available before 2035.
10%
AI
10Y
22 Sept 2036
A curative treatment for at least three of the top five deadliest cancers is approved by the FDA before October 2036.
7%
AI
10Y
22 Sept 2036
A crewed mission successfully lands humans on Mars before December 31, 2035.
7%
AI
10Y
21 Sept 2036
A global military conflict involving direct warfare between the United States and either China or Russia begins before 2035.
13%
AI
10Y
21 Sept 2036
Artificial superintelligence is developed and confirmed before 2035.
12%
AI
10Y
17 Sept 2036
An AI system is granted full regulatory approval to independently diagnose and prescribe treatment without doctor oversight by 2032.
16%
AI
10Y
17 Sept 2036
A major commercial airline operates scheduled passenger flights with fully autonomous AI cockpits by 2035.
5%
AI
10Y
17 Sept 2036
Flying cars or eVTOL air taxis account for over 100,000 passenger trips annually before 2035.
47%
AI
10Y
17 Sept 2036
Robotics and AI displace at least 10% of existing manufacturing and logistics jobs globally before 2032.
15%
AI