THE ARCHIVE

Every forecast,
in order.

109 questions. Sorted by newest.

1 week1 month3 months6 months1 year3 years5 years10 years50 years
◆ Artificial Intelligence 137▲ Markets & Economy 133⬢ Geopolitics 100▢ Policy & Law 88◇ Gaming 88⚡ Energy 83▽ Security & Defense 73◉ Climate & Environment 66✦ Space 64◈ Crypto & Finance 46▣ Consumer Tech 42✚ Health & Medicine 35❖ Biotech 32▶ Transportation 30
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Nevada Gaming Commission approves proposed regulation amendments at its September 17, 2026 hearing.✓ happened

▢ Policy & Law spread 22
75%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The FDA approves zidesamtinib by its September 18, 2026 PDUFA target action date.✓ happened

❖ Biotech spread 18
80%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Bank of England holds the Bank Rate at 3.75% at its policy meeting during the week of September 14–18, 2026.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 80
80%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Bank of Japan hikes its policy rate by 25 basis points at its September 18, 2026 meeting.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 36
35%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at its September 16, 2026 meeting.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 22
61%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner announce a formal breakthrough in peace talks during their Moscow and Ukraine visits.✗ didn't

⬢ Geopolitics spread 14
12%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Brazilian Senate approves AI regulation Bill 2338/2023 on 16 September 2026.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 57
56%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

China's headline year-on-year producer price index inflation is at or above 3.2% for August 2026.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 30
48%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

China's headline year-on-year consumer price index inflation is at or above 0.9% for August 2026.✗ didn't

▲ Markets & Economy spread 16
51%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Bank of Japan raises its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points at its September 18, 2026 meeting.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 16
72%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Federal Reserve leaves the target federal funds rate unchanged at its September 16, 2026 meeting.✗ didn't

▲ Markets & Economy spread 59
68%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

A new game announcement or schedule reveal is made by the close of the Tokyo Game Show on September 21, 2026.✓ happened

◇ Gaming spread 2
99%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Brazilian Senate approves Bill 2338/2023 in its plenary floor vote on September 16, 2026.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 65
32%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Bank of England announces an interest rate increase on September 17, 2026.✗ didn't

▲ Markets & Economy spread 13
8%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Bank of Japan raises interest rates by at least 25 basis points on September 18, 2026.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 6
73%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Federal Reserve raises interest rates at its September 15-16, 2026 meeting.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 6
58%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield closes above 4.82% on September 16, 2026.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 19
25%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Bank of Japan raises its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.25% at its upcoming policy meeting.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 6
76%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate at its September 15-16, 2026 meeting.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 4
69%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The opening ceremony of the 20th Asian Games Aichi-Nagoya takes place as scheduled on September 19, 2026.✓ happened

◐ Sports spread 5
97%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

Brazil's Senate passes AI Bill 2338/2023 at its September 16, 2026 vote.✗ didn't

◆ Artificial Intelligence spread 47
50%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Bank of Japan raises interest rates by at least 25 basis points at its September 18, 2026 meeting.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 6
72%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Federal Reserve raises its target interest rate at the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting.✓ happened

▲ Markets & Economy spread 57
58%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

U.S. headline annual CPI inflation is reported at 3.4% or higher in the September 2026 release.✗ didn't

▲ Markets & Economy spread 16
21%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The DRC government and the M23-led AFC alliance agree to an operational ceasefire at the Geneva talks on September 16–17, 2026.✗ didn't

⬢ Geopolitics spread 13
22%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

ENDLESS Legend 2 leaves early access with version 1.0 on PC, PS5, and Xbox Series on 17 September 2026.✓ happened

◇ Gaming spread 67
55%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

Sandbox VR opens its Melbourne venue on 14 September 2026.✓ happened

▣ Consumer Tech spread 43
75%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

The Horizon Europe space call closes to proposals at 17:00 CEST on September 16, 2026.✓ happened

✦ Space spread 12
96%
AI
1W 21 Sept 2026

NASA closes submissions for LISA science-gaps input by September 16, 2026.✓ happened

✦ Space spread 13
95%
AI